Reasons to Read

On September 25, 2025, the Coresight Research team presented a comprehensive outlook on consumer and retail prospects for the upcoming holiday season and into 2026. The session explored the key forces shaping demand, from tariffs and macroeconomic factors to evolving consumer sentiment and spending behaviors.

This presentation covered:

  • Holiday 2025 Demand Drivers–How tariffs, inflation, and broader economic conditions are expected to influence holiday spending.
  • Consumer Segments Poised for Growth–Which shopper groups are likely to lead purchasing activity, and how retailers can better serve their needs.
  • Retail Strategy in a Shifting Landscape–What leaders should anticipate around inflation, demand volatility, and consumer confidence.
  • 2026 Outlook–Strategic insights on how holiday performance may set the tone for the year ahead.

Featured speaker from the Coresight Research team: 

  • John Mercer, Head of Global Research 

Other relevant research:  

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Introduction

Coresight Research is a research partner of Groceryshop 2025, which is taking place during September 28–October 1 at Mandalay Bay in Las Vegas, Nevada. Groceryshop is an annual conference that brings together global retailers, brands and technology leaders to discuss trends, innovations and strategies shaping the future of grocery and CPG.

The sessions at Groceryshop 2025 are categorized into four major themes, which we presented in our guide to the event:

  • Efficient and AI-Powered Grocery Operations
  • Understanding, Captivating and Retaining Shoppers
  • The Next Frontier for Retail Media (and New Revenue Streams)
  • Building Unified and Future-Ready Organizations

In this report, we present key insights from the first day of Groceryshop 2025, which mainly covered the themes of Efficient and AI-Powered Grocery Operations and Understanding, Captivating and Retaining Shoppers.

Groceryshop 2025 Day One: Coresight Research Insights

1. Efficient and AI-Powered Grocery Operations

The Rise of GenAI in Search and Discovery

GenAI is fundamentally changing the way products are discovered and purchased. Shoppers are now finding products directly inside AI platforms such as ChatGPT and Perplexity instead of clicking through websites. To win, brands need to make sure AI systems can easily “read” and use their content. This means creating clear, consistent product information across all channels and feeding that directly into AI models.

Elena MacGurn, SVP, Search, Digitas, described how consumer journeys are no longer linear or confined to specific channels. Instead, AI-powered search engines now evaluate signals across commerce, social, search and more to determine which brands surface in AI-native search platforms such as Perplexity and ChatGPT. Importantly, whether a brand “wins or loses” is increasingly decided before a shopper clicks on a website or visits a store.

MacGurn explained that AI users are highly qualified, with AI-driven website visits converting at a rate 23 times higher than traditional search. This makes AI search one of the most powerful new sources of engagement and conversion for retailers and brands. She emphasized that traditional keyword optimization is no longer sufficient; the future requires creating a consistent, contextual and multi-channel content ecosystem that AI systems can ingest. This includes not only blogs and product detail pages, but also comparison pages, occasion-driven content and direct syndication of product data to large language models (LLMs).

Prasanna Kumar, Global Digital Commerce Experience Director, Diageo, brought these concepts to life by sharing real-world applications. He framed AI as “the new shelf”—the space where consumers now discover and decide on products. To adapt, Diageo is experimenting with how different product descriptions, signals and contextual content affect brand visibility across AI platforms, such as Gemini and ChatGPT. The company is also investing in occasion-led content strategies, where discovery is tied to consumer intent and context (for example, what to drink for certain events or celebrations).

Measurement has also evolved. Diageo now tracks share of shelf within AI answers, referrals from AI platforms to retailers, and incremental conversions from AI-driven traffic. With AI already accounting for a significant portion of traffic—MacGurn cited that 20% of Walmart’s referrals now come from AI platforms—these new metrics are critical for understanding performance. Kumar further highlighted the need for strong cross-team collaboration across media, retail media and digital commerce teams, using shared scorecards and syndication strategies to align signals across all touchpoints.

Looking forward, both speakers stressed that future-proofing requires brands to think like AI engines themselves. Feeding LLMs with structured product content and credible, authentic voices will be essential to establishing a brand presence in an AI-driven discovery landscape.

Elena MacGurn, SVP, Search, Digitas (Left); and Prasanna Kumar, Global Digital Commerce Experience Director, Diageo (Right)
Source: Groceryshop

 

Building for Agentic AI and Data Readiness

The transition to agentic AI will only succeed if enterprises solve their foundational data challenges. Retailers must shift from siloed systems to real-time, structured and trusted data pipelines that AI agents can act on. This transformation is as much a cultural change as a technical one—requiring new roles, new processes and greater cross-team collaboration to ensure data can be consistently trusted and scaled across the enterprise.

Jason Cottrell, CEO & Founder, Orium, explained that AI agents should be thought of not as “lone geniuses” but as teams of employees—each one able to run different business functions such as inventory planning, marketing execution or replenishment. For example, an inventory agent might pull in warehouse data, apply replenishment rules and even factor in weather forecasts before making supply decisions. Cottrell shared an “agent framework” made up of several elements: a core agent engine (the “brains” of the system), memory and context (customer and supply chain data), decision logic (rules and reasoning), operational oversight (supervision and feedback loops), guardrails (for safety and trust) and application programming interface (API) integration with workflows like order management systems (OMS) and enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems.

He suggested that if a task is repeated three times, it should be automated. He stressed companies need to start capturing their own decision-making processes in structured ways (for example, transcripts, decision logs), so agents can learn from them just as employees do.

Brian Bell, VP, Strategy & Planning, Church & Dwight, added that poor data quality is the single biggest risk for AI adoption. He cited research showing that as many as 95% of AI projects underperform because enterprises lack clean, trusted and usable data. Bell warned that companies risk what he called “work slop”—a hidden productivity drain caused by employees constantly cleaning up unstructured data before AI systems can use it. To address this, he proposed creating new roles such as data librarians—people dedicated to curating and maintaining enterprise data so agents can access it reliably.

Bell also noted that many enterprises are still unsure who should “own” agentic AI. Polling during the session revealed that 42% of attendees believe it should be managed by a new cross-functional AI team, ideally reporting into the CIO, CTO or CEO. He cautioned against “AI sprawl,” where experiments proliferate without governance, leading to wasted effort and inconsistent results.

Both speakers agreed that readiness for agentic AI requires more than technology investment. Companies need to build new architectures as a foundation, restructure data and context so agents can use it, shift staff mindsets from fear to excitement and deliberately redesign processes rather than letting them evolve by accident.

A person giving a presentation AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Jason Cottrell, CEO & Founder, Orium
Source: Groceryshop

 

Rapid AI Applications in Commerce, Supply Chain and Media

AI is already helping companies develop products faster, shorten supply chains and personalize marketing. Yet alongside these opportunities are risks—hallucinations, governance gaps and data quality issues.

Marisa Perez, SVP, Digital Commerce, PepsiCo, described how AI is being applied to product development. By simulating consumer insights, testing packaging variations in virtual environments and running faster iterations, PepsiCo has been able to accelerate development timelines significantly. Perez emphasized that this process not only drives efficiency but also makes innovation “more fun,” encouraging teams to embrace rapid experimentation, fast failures and quick pivots. She also pointed to personalization as a major growth area, sharing how Gatorade is experimenting with AI-driven, custom-designed bottles—an example of how shoppers’ desire for unique, personalized products is shaping marketing and product strategy.

Manuel Queiroz, Partner, Bright Pixel Capital, discussed how AI is making supply chains and procurement more efficient. He explained that AI is helping companies cut time-to-market by as much as 50% by using synthetic data to simulate customer feedback and by integrating platforms across sourcing, spend optimization and demand sensing. Queiroz also touched on procurement automation, noting that large organizations with long tails of suppliers are beginning to test agent-based negotiation systems. While humans will remain in the loop for sensitive supplier relationships, AI is already handling much of the “heavy lifting” in these processes.

Lauren Sanvidge, Executive Director, Head of Commerce, PHD Media, described how AI is changing personalization in media. Gen Z and millennials are treating GenAI as a conversational partner—using polite, human-like language (“please” and “thank you”) and expecting personalized responses. Sanvidge noted this behavior is driving a massive opportunity for AI-driven personalization in retail media, where brands can tailor content, offers and creative to individual consumers in real time. However, she cautioned that hallucinations remain a serious issue, especially when applying AI to deep datasets. Her team has tested bespoke LLMs and dummy data, but hallucinations persist, underscoring the need for stricter governance and oversight.

The panel also raised challenges around data quality. Perez said teams spend huge amounts of time cleaning data because bad inputs lead to bad results. Sanvidge also raised concerns about data privacy, noting that many brands are starting to build their own private AI systems to reduce risk. Still, the pace of adoption is moving faster than the creation of clear rules or safeguards.

The speakers concluded with a provocative thought: as AI agents proliferate across retail, we are moving toward a world where brands may increasingly create content for machines rather than humans—optimizing how their products show up in AI-powered search and recommendation systems. This future, while exciting, makes the need for clean data, brand safety standards and governance more urgent than ever.

Marisa Perez, SVP, Digital Commerce, PepsiCo
Source: Groceryshop

 

Automation and AI Driving Smarter Fulfillment

The future of fulfillment is about flexibility—balancing immediacy, cost efficiency and consumer expectations. Shoppers want both speed and choice, which means no single model will win. Companies are turning to AI and robotics to lower costs, predict demand and personalize the experience. The winners will be those who can offer many options—on-demand delivery, scheduled delivery, store pickup and automated fulfillment.

Susan Anderson, Global Head of Delivery, Uber, explained how Uber is expanding beyond restaurants into grocery and general retail. In just the last year, Uber added over 1,000 retailers worldwide and now powers 50,000 storefronts in the US, with Aldi as the newest partner. Unlike delivery-only competitors, Uber’s advantage lies in its ability to combine both rides and deliveries. For example, Walmart customers use Uber not just for last-mile delivery but also for rides to the stores.

Anderson also explained how Uber is using AI to make shopping more personal. Features like “freshness guarantees” ensure quality in grocery orders, while personalized carousels help shoppers discover relevant items for holidays, events and last-minute gifting. Valentine’s Day, for instance, was Uber Eats’ biggest day ever, with 150,000 flower deliveries—most after 11 p.m.—underscoring how AI-driven merchandising can anticipate and serve urgent, time-sensitive needs. Uber is also testing deeper personalization based on customer history, time of day and occasion (for example, “back-to-school” or “weeknight dinners”). Anderson framed Uber as a “super-app in the making,” where ride-hailing, grocery, gifting and retail all connect in one ecosystem.

Tim Steiner, CEO of Ocado, explained how automation is helping grocers make online shopping profitable. Large automated warehouses are still the cheapest way to handle scheduled deliveries, but they are expensive if not fully used. Ocado has developed smaller automated centers that can break even at much lower sales volumes. Advances in robotics, such as picker robots that can operate alongside box-moving robots, are enabling more efficient micro-fulfillment and reducing space requirements.

Steiner pointed out that shoppers’ needs vary by country. In the UK, 95% of online grocery orders are delivered to the home, while in France, 90% are pickup. Customers do not want slower service, but they do not always need instant delivery either—sometimes they prefer lower prices or bigger baskets. That means retailers must offer a mix of fast same-day services and cheaper scheduled deliveries. Ocado’s technology supports all these models, from picking in-store to dark stores to fully automated warehouses.

AI plays a big role in Ocado’s operations. It helps forecast demand, schedule workers, optimize delivery windows and manage costs. With labor and delivery costs rising, Steiner noted automation and AI will be essential to meeting consumer expectations while keeping costs down.

Susan Anderson, Global Head of Delivery, Uber (Left); and Jordan Berke, CEO & Founder, TOMORROW (Interviewer)
Source: Groceryshop

 

2. Understanding, Captivating and Retaining Shoppers

Cautious Consumers and the Rise of Value-Driven Shopping

Shoppers are more cautious and price-conscious than ever. Inflation, higher living costs and regulatory changes are forcing consumers to rethink how and where they shop. Many are trading down to private labels, seeking more deals and moving their spending online or into social commerce channels. Retailers that can respond quickly with the right value propositions—through pricing, promotions and private brands—will be best placed to capture loyalty in this environment.

Jennie Bell, Managing Director, Snacks & Beverages, NielsenIQ, presented research showing just how much consumer behavior has shifted. Since 2021, grocery prices have increased by 28.5%, and nearly three-quarters of shoppers (73%) say they feel the impact of these rising costs. As a result, 50% of shoppers are seeking deals more often, with coupon use rising and trade-down behavior accelerating.

Private label products are becoming a clear winner in this shift. Bell explained that private label share, with growth rates (5.1%) more than double those of national brands (2.3%). Retailers are no longer just positioning private labels as budget options—they are expanding into premium ranges and creating strong brand portfolios to cover both value and quality segments. This allows retailers to capture both ends of the cautious consumer spectrum: those who want low prices and those who want affordable premium alternatives.

At the same time, shopping habits are shifting across channels. Online sales are up 15% year-over-year, with 1.2 billion units—worth $4.7 billion—moving away from brick-and-mortar stores into digital channels. This trend is especially strong in categories such as general merchandise, baby and health and beauty, which are seeing double-digit online growth. Social commerce has emerged as a powerful force in this transition. TikTok Shop, for example, generated nearly $6 billion in sales, with categories like snacks, beverages and health products up 100% year over year and each category averaging $50 million–$100 million in sales. Bell summed up that “digital is at the heart of every consumer decision,” underscoring the need for retailers and brands to adapt to a consumer base that is more price-sensitive, convenience-driven and digitally engaged than ever.

Regulatory shifts, particularly around SNAP (Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program), are also driving major behavioral changes. SNAP households, which make up a large segment of US grocery shoppers, are responding to reduced benefits in two ways: by reducing consumption (31% say they will buy less food, 26% say they will skip meals, 27% plan to cut non-essentials) and by changing habits (28% will shop at lower-cost retailers, 26% will buy more private labels and 26% will use coupons more often). Planned reductions in SNAP funding over the next decade are expected to further accelerate these shifts.

Bell concluded with the following key takeaways:

1. Consumer Behavior is Shifting Rapidly

  • Shoppers are cautious, value-driven and adapting their buying habits due to economic pressures and regulatory changes.
  • Retailers and manufacturers must respond quickly to remain relevant.

2. Omnichannel Strategies Are Essential for Growth

  • E-commerce and digital channels are taking share from brick-and-mortar.
  • Retail winners will be those who connect channels seamlessly and meet consumers wherever they shop.

3. Anticipate Emerging Trends Before They Disrupt

  • Growth depends on spotting and acting early on shifts like health & wellness, private labels and digital commerce.
  • Early movers will capture growth and avoid being left behind as the market evolves.

Jennie Bell, Managing Director, Snacks & Beverages, NielsenIQ
Source: Groceryshop

 

Balancing Health, Wellness and Affordability

Shoppers today want the best of both worlds—healthier products and affordable prices. Retailers are under pressure to deliver high wellness standards without compromising value. Whole Foods has adapted by holding firm on quality while expanding private labels, cutting prices and broadening promotions to appeal to a more cost-conscious shopper base.

Sonya Gafsi Oblisk, Chief Merchandising & Marketing Officer, Whole Foods, described how wellness has taken on new meaning. For many customers, it’s no longer just about avoiding unhealthy ingredients—it’s also about actively seeking out functional benefits. She broke this into two dynamics: the absence of negatives (removing additives, red dyes and other artificial ingredients) and the presence of positives (nutrient-dense foods, functional grains and protein-rich products). Whole Foods has banned more than 500 ingredients across its stores, and these standards are continuously reviewed in what Oblisk called an “always-on process.” She stressed that these strict standards are the “nucleus” and “north star” of the Whole Foods brand.

At the same time, price sensitivity has become one of the most important forces shaping shopper behavior. Oblisk called this “the largest and most impactful trend” the company has faced in recent years. Whole Foods has responded by cutting prices on more than 25% of its products, introducing deeper weekly discounts and lowering prices on over 1,000 private label SKUs. Its 365 brand, positioned as high-quality but affordable, has grown more than 50% in the past five years. Oblisk said the brand is central to making Whole Foods competitive with conventional grocers, while still staying true to its health and quality positioning.

Looking ahead, Oblisk pointed to several trends she expects to shape grocery: functional grains (like buckwheat and chickpeas) that combine nutrition with sustainability, artisanal and heritage products that bring authenticity and international culinary influences that add excitement. These, she noted, are part of the next wave of wellness and culinary inspiration that shoppers will expect retailers to provide—alongside competitive prices.

Democratizing Healthy Food Access

Access to healthy food remains uneven across the US, with affordability, geography and misinformation creating barriers for many households. Thrive Market is positioning itself as a mission-driven retailer that lowers these barriers by offering affordable natural and organic products, providing trusted guidance in a confusing food landscape and expanding access for low-income families.

Nick Green, CEO & Co-Founder, Thrive Market, explained that the company was founded in 2014 with a mission to make healthy eating both affordable and accessible. The idea came from recognizing that most Americans either lived too far from health-focused grocery stores or could not afford premium natural products. Today, Thrive operates on a membership model, similar to Costco, which allows it to price organic and natural products below the cost of many conventional equivalents. More than 20% of its sales come from private label, a key lever in keeping prices low while also driving brand loyalty.

Green emphasized that consumer interest in health is not a fad. Over the past decade, even through economic ups and downs, the desire to eat healthier has grown into what he called a “megatrend.” Thrive’s customers span geographies and demographics—half are based in the Midwest and Southeast, showing that healthy eating is no longer limited to coastal or urban markets.

AI plays a growing role in Thrive’s customer experience. The company uses it to personalize shopping journeys—filtering assortments based on dietary preferences, predicting replenishment needs and even suggesting products members might not have considered but are likely to want. Quizzes (for example, asking whether a member is gluten-free) combined with shopping data are used to build a 360-degree view of each customer, turning food shopping into a personalized lifestyle service rather than just replenishment.

Thrive is also tackling the issue of misinformation. Green pointed out that ultra-processed foods often make misleading health claims, and that consumers are overwhelmed by conflicting information online. Thrive positions itself as a trusted curator—using its data and standards to filter out products that do not meet its health criteria, and surfacing only those that align with its mission.

The company has been expanding access of healthy products for low-income households. After nearly a decade of lobbying the USDA, Thrive became one of the first retailers allowed to accept SNAP benefits online. This was a major breakthrough, as SNAP households comprise millions of US consumers but previously had limited options to buy healthy products online. Thrive also gives free memberships to families in need, further lowering the barrier to access.

Green described Thrive as both a retailer and a data company, using its insights not only to serve customers but also to help fast-growth, health-focused brands succeed. By spotting promising smaller brands early and introducing them to its membership base, Thrive helps accelerate the shift toward healthier products in the broader market.

A person and person sitting in chairs AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Nick Green, CEO & Co-Founder, Thrive Market (Left); and Sarah Engel, President, January Digital (Interviewer)

Reasons to Read

As part of our Market Navigator series, Coresight Research explores the US grocery market. Dive in today to understand how tariffs, demographics and digital disruption are reshaping the US grocery market in 2025 and beyond.

Read this report to discover answers to these and other questions:

  • How will weak demand and a fragile macroeconomic backdrop shape grocery growth in 2025?
  • Which grocery categories and supply chains are most at risk from tariffs?
  • Why is food-at-home inflation expected to accelerate in the second half of 2025?
  • How does the aging demographic profile of supermarket shoppers threaten traditional grocers?
  • What advantages allow non-traditional players like Walmart, Costco, and Amazon to dominate the US grocery landscape?

Companies mentioned in this report include: Ahold Delhaize, Albertsons, Aldi, Amazon, Costco, Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Grocery Outlet, H-E-B, Kroger, Lidl, Natural Grocers, Publix, Save A Lot, Sprouts Farmers Market and Walmart.

Data in this report include: US grocery retail sales and growth; in-store CPG unit sales trends; grocery channel distribution; online grocery sales and e-commerce penetration; top food and beverage categories in online grocery; consumer grocery spending and inflation impacts; agricultural import values and sources; demographic shifts in household and shopper composition; food-at-home vs. food-away-from-home spending; retailer revenues, margins, and market share; store counts, gross square footage, sales per store and per square foot; and grocery store traffic patterns.

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Reasons to Read

Welcome to Analyst Corner! Every Sunday, a member of the Coresight Research team discusses upcoming or recent research and their thoughts on interesting topics in their area of expertise.

This week, Sujeet Naik, Analyst, explores grocery retailing in the US, including our growth projections for this year, current market factors and what we expect for the grocery sector moving forward.

Analyst Corner also highlights our key research from the past week and upcoming reports to look out for, so you don’t miss out.

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Understand the latest shifts in UK retail store networks as openings remain head of closures in 2025.

Read this report to discover answers to these and other questions:

  • Which retailers contributed most to the increase in store openings and closures this week—and why?
  • Which brands are continuing to expand, despite a challenging retail environment?
  • How do 2025 store openings and closures compare to 2024, and what are the key trends behind the year-over-year changes?

Companies mentioned in this report include: Amazon, Bodycare, Boux Avenue, Carmina, Deichmann, Dubarry, Footasylum, Holland & Barrett, Läderach, Manière De Voir, Michael Kors, Miniso, Odd Muse, Scribbler, Smyths, Superdry, Tala, The Entertainer, Vila, Wax London and Whole Foods Market.

Data in this report include: weekly totals of UK store closures and openings for 2025 and 2024; retailer-level breakdowns of announced versus confirmed closures/openings.

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Uncover which retailers are driving the surge in US store closures—and who’s still expanding.

Read this report to discover answers to these and other questions:

  • Which retailers led this week’s new openings across the US?
  • How do 2025 store closure and opening trends compare to 2024—and what does the data reveal about retail health?

Companies mentioned in this report include: Mega Mart, Moorer, Myrqvist, Skims and Toys“R”Us.

Data in this report include: weekly totals of US store closures and openings for 2025 and 2024; retailer-level breakdowns of announced versus confirmed closures/openings; total store counts by retailer; total US retail bankruptcies year to date.

Other relevant research:

Our new Store Intelligence Platform provides store-level tracking of US retail openings, closures and active store counts across 350+ retailers. Built on up-to-date, verified location data and guided by our deep sector expertise, the platform ensures accuracy in an area where information is often messy and unreliable. With easy-to-use dashboards featuring charts and filters by date, sector, retailer and location, you can quickly find and visualize the data you need. The platform will be available to premium subscribers on a trial basis through October 10.

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Reasons to Read

Discover how Sotira is turning surplus inventory into revenue opportunities through AI-powered resale.

Read this report to uncover answers to these and other questions:

  • What challenges do retailers face in managing overstocks and surplus inventory?
  • How does Sotira’s AI-powered platform streamline liquidation and connect brands with vetted buyers?
  • In what ways does the platform help companies recover costs, unlock working capital, and reduce waste?
  • How does Sotira’s marketplace accelerate turnaround times compared with traditional liquidation methods?

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Find out how Scrollmark is closing the gap between social discovery and conversions with AI automation.

Read this report to explore answers to these and other questions:

  • Why does social media drive product discovery but still struggle to convert shoppers into buyers?
  • How does Scrollmark’s platform automate social engagement across comments, DMs, and influencer interactions?
  • What role does SocialGPT play in trend discovery, sentiment analysis, and competitive insights?
  • How do Scrollmark’s tools support brands with social commerce tracking, influencer workflows, and personalized engagement at scale?

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Uncover how Relocalize is reinventing supply chains with autonomous micro-factories.

Read this report to discover answers to these and other questions:

  • What inefficiencies are costing retailers billions in lost revenue across store operations and supply chains?
  • How do Relocalize’s autonomous micro-factories reduce middle-mile logistics challenges and environmental impact?
  • What role do containerized, AI-driven factories play in improving freshness, cutting waste, and lowering costs?
  • How is Relocalize expanding its hyperlocal production model beyond packaged ice into new beverage categories?

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Learn how ReFiBuy is optimizing digital shelves for the era of AI-powered shopping.

Read this report to uncover answers to these and other questions:

  • How is generative AI reshaping the way consumers search, compare, and buy products?
  • What challenges do retailers face in ensuring product catalogs are structured for AI-driven discovery?
  • How does ReFiBuy’s Commerce Intelligence Engine improve SKU-level visibility across platforms like ChatGPT, Google Gemini, and Perplexity?
  • In what ways does ReFiBuy’s closed-loop system help brands monitor and adapt digital shelf performance over time?

Other relevant research:

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Introduction

Coresight Research is a research partner of Shoptalk Fall 2025, which took place during September 17–19 at the McCormick Place Convention Center in Chicago, Illinois. It serves as a complementary, second-half-of-the-year counterpart to Shoptalk Spring—offering industry leaders another strategic touchpoint to connect, collaborate and act on fast-moving trends.

This year, Shoptalk Fall attracted more than 3,000 retail and brand leaders, technology innovators and decision-makers for an immersive experience built around the theme of “Retail Alchemy.” Featuring hands-on workshops, peer-led sessions, and insights from more than 130 industry luminaries, the event spotlighted key retail priorities, including AI-driven intelligence, product innovation, customer loyalty and executive leadership in a currently volatile environment.

At the event, the Coresight Research team presented at panels, attended conference sessions, met with clients and participated in one-to-one sessions.

In this report, we present our top insights from Shoptalk Fall 2025, centered around four key themes that align with Coresight Research’s predictions for retail in 2025 and beyond:

  • Data-Driven and AI-Augmented Retail Intelligence—Modern retail is moving beyond static dashboards and datasets, using machine learning (ML) and agentic AI to create intelligent, responsive systems for forecasting, planning and operations. These tools help brands anticipate disruption, navigate inflation and tariffs, and fine-tune supply chain, inventory and omnichannel performance in real time.
  • Product Curation and Innovation Under Pressure—With supply chains in flux and consumer preferences shifting rapidly, merchandising teams are piloting new categories, reallocating inventory across formats and making bold assortment decisions to stay competitive.
  • Brand Identity, Loyalty and Customer Experience in a Shifting World—Brand building today is about staying relevant, resilient and resonant in the face of cultural shifts, generational divides and algorithm-driven discovery. Marketers and customer experience leaders are focusing on personalization, loyalty and emotional connection to strengthen relationships across channels, platforms and regions.
  • Leading Through Volatility and Change—Today’s leaders must act decisively in uncertainty while planning for what’s next. By balancing stability and innovation, cost control and expansion and unity with decentralization, forward-thinking brands are reshaping organizational culture and empowering teams at every level.

Shoptalk Fall 2025 Wrap-Up: Coresight Research Analysis

A recurring theme at Shoptalk Fall 2025 was how AI, tariffs and market volatility are driving the need for resilience and agility. Speakers stressed that successful strategies involve pivoting when needed, keeping supply chains flexible and using AI thoughtfully as a tool rather than pursuing it without a clear purpose. At the same time, the human element remains critical: associates play a key role, and maintaining clear communication with all stakeholders—brands, retailers, vendors and logistics partners—is essential to navigating change effectively.

1. Data-Driven and AI-Augmented Retail Intelligence

AI As a Driver of Retail Reinvention

Across the sessions, speakers highlighted that AI is now a practical tool helping retailers stay resilient and make smarter decisions in uncertain times. It is already proving its value in areas like personalization, customer acquisition and productivity. But the real impact comes only when AI projects are directly linked to clear business goals—such as revenue growth, cutting costs and saving time—rather than being pursued as isolated technology pilots. Collectively, the success depends on disciplined adoption: aligning solutions with customer needs, building internal know-how and viewing AI as an enabler, not a magic fix.

Neelima Sharma, SVP, Omnichannel & Ecommerce Technology, Lowe’s, outlined three areas of AI focus for the company:

  • How we shop: Style Your Space, shopping assistant, personalization
  • How we sell: Inventory planning, assortment planning
  • How we work: How to automate store teams and associates’ workflows

She described innovations, such as “Style Your Space,” a GenAI tool that allows customers to upload a photo of their home and receive personalized design recommendations. Lowe’s has also deployed semantic search capabilities to respond to problem-based queries (“show me patio furniture that fits my balcony”) and launched shopper assistants to provide design inspiration and answer product questions. Internally, AI is being used for inventory and assortment planning, as well as to streamline workflows for associates.

Sharma highlighted that the goal is to empower associates to be more productive and better equipped to solve customer issues. “Human connection will always be there, but AI will help them drive productivity,” she added.

Manju Kuruvilla, Founder & CEO, Spangle, noted that traditional brand websites are no longer built for how consumers shop today and suggested that the future may move beyond conventional websites entirely. Instead, personal digital agents, integrated with individual calendars and preferences, could become the main way people discover and buy products.

Many speakers highlighted how AI can accelerate experimentation and testing. Josh Payne, Co-Founder & CEO of Coframe, pointed out that 95% of website traffic never converts. Traditional conversion optimization is slow and resource-intensive, with experiments taking weeks to launch. Coframe uses advanced AI to design and run experiments in hours, allowing companies to test at ten times the previous volume while cutting time-to-market and costs. Partnering with OpenAI, Coframe has already delivered double-digit ROI for clients by boosting conversion rates, saving team effort and reducing operational expenses.

A person sitting in a chair clapping AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Neelima Sharma, SVP, Omnichannel & Ecommerce Technology, Lowe’s
Source: Shoptalk Fall

 

Strategic Pivots Enabled by Intelligence

Every company eventually reaches a point where the old way of doing things no longer works. Retail leaders noted that real pivots are not just about chasing big new ideas, but about making tough, disciplined choices—often deciding what to stop. They emphasized that associates play a vital role in guiding customers through these changes, and that true transformation is only real when it shows up in the customer experience, not just in company announcements.

Bruce Smith, Founder & Chairman of the Board, Hydrow, described pivoting as “a euphemism for near death.” Hydrow’s breaking point came after the pandemic, when rising interest rates and soaring customer acquisition costs undermined its growth model. The company responded with drastic cuts—halving the workforce, reducing marketing and scaling back technology investment. Though painful, these decisions restored profitability and sharpened focus. He emphasized that leadership in crisis means knowing where to compromise, such as in the supply chain, and where to double down, such as investing in AI to strengthen new growth areas. Hydrow also used acquisitions to move into broader wellness, positioning itself as a multi-modal health platform. For Smith, transparency—even about bad news—was key to maintaining trust with both employees and investors.

Nicole Parry, Head of Merchandising at H&M Americas, highlighted the discipline pivots demand in environments with finite resources. With 600 stores and fixed space, H&M must constantly decide what to prioritize and what to cut. She explained that merchandising is about making “small pivots,” but today’s rapid trend cycles require faster and sharper decisions. By narrowing Key Process Indicators (KPIs) to just sales, profit and speed, H&M ensures pivots are clear, actionable and measurable organization-wide. Parry added that celebrating even small wins helps teams stay motivated and aligned, ensuring pivots translate into progress.

Supply chain leaders emphasized that true agility is not just about being lean, but about having options and backups to navigate disruptions. Jennifer Kobus, DVP of Global Supply Chain at REI, described agility as moving beyond reactive responses to fostering a culture of continuous improvement through test-and-learn initiatives. REI experiments with small-scale pilots that can be scaled when they prove valuable, maintaining flexibility without compromising operational stability. Derek Geiss, Chief Supply Chain Officer at Nutrabolt, described agility as “optionality”—keeping multiple sourcing and logistics pathways open so the business can adapt quickly when conditions change.

A person sitting in a chair AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Bruce Smith, Founder & Chairman of the Board, Hydrow
Source: Shoptalk Fall

 

2. Product Curation and Innovation Under Pressure

Physical Retail As Customer Acquisition and Insight Engine

Digital-first retailers are discovering that physical stores can be a strong engine for customer acquisition. Kate Gulliver, CFO and Chief Administrative Officer of Wayfair, shared that the company’s first Chicago store, which opened a year ago, revealed important results—over half the shoppers had never engaged with the Wayfair brand before, proving the reach of brick-and-mortar stores. Certain categories like gift items and storage solutions are performing better in-store than online, highlighting the importance of tailoring product assortment to each channel.

Gulliver also pointed to the importance of shipping speed in the furniture category, where most shoppers do not leave the store with a product in hand. Wayfair leverages its nearby Chicago fulfillment centers to deliver items within one to three days—an experience that, in Gulliver’s words, left customers “impressed with how quickly and conveniently our delivery experience was.” The physical channel move also benefits suppliers, who see the store as another valuable channel for customer exposure.

For U.S. Polo Association, physical retail remains a critical insight engine. Jose Nino, VP, Global Digital & Ecommerce, U.S. Polo Association, noted, “bricks drive clicks,” and the brand’s global network of 1,200 stores provides invaluable signals that inform adjustments to both direct-to-consumer channels and marketplaces.

Sam’s Club executives explained that they view each store as a vast sensory network, equipped with cameras, RFID readers and app telemetry. AI turns this stream of information into practical insights that improve the member experience. For example, floor scrubbers are outfitted with cameras, capturing 24 million images a day to monitor aisles. AI models analyze these images to flag inventory gaps or pricing errors and instantly send next-best-action alerts to associates’ handheld devices—like restocking shelves or fixing a sign. The scrubbers also carry Radio Frequency Identification (RFID) readers that scan 180 million tags daily, providing real-time visibility into product location and availability. Together, these tools enable associates to act faster and keep operations running smoothly.

A person sitting in a chair holding a microphone AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Kate Gulliver, CFO and Chief Administrative Officer of Wayfair
Source: Shoptalk Fall

 

Scaling Beyond Pilots

Many retailers can launch pilots, but few succeed in scaling them into programs that deliver lasting value. True success comes from being agile enough to adjust quickly, staying authentic to maintain customer trust and building the right infrastructure to support growth. Putting the customer first, actively involving vendors and fostering cross-team collaboration are essential to turning pilots into sustainable engines of growth.

George Chang, General Manager, Shein USA Marketplace, shared Shein’s experience building and growing its third-party marketplace. Launched two years ago, the initiative was designed with speed, agility and execution in mind. “It’s a different muscle,” from the traditional business, he explained. Chang said, “we have two customers: our end customer and our merchants. We are very intentional about how we get merchant feedback.” To strengthen those relationships, Shein hosts five annual events and regular workshops to engage directly with sellers.

Michael Jacobs, Chief Growth Officer, Consortium Brands, warned that after years of investment in building a brand story, it would be reckless to “hand over the keys” to influencers who lack authenticity. Instead, Consortium Brands seeks creators who are genuine customers, using tools like Yotpo to identify reviewers whose voices resonate. He emphasized that ROI comes from “brand love and connection,” not paid promotion. To ensure alignment, the Consortium established a cross-functional structure linking affiliate and influencer teams across its portfolio brands. This coordination ensures that workflows are consistent with brand positioning before scaling user-generated content (UGC) programs.

Enna Allen, SVP Marketing, Simon Property Group, shared the journey behind Simon+, a loyalty program over two decades in the making. Allen explained that creating a program valuable to both shoppers and retailers required first laying a foundation through earlier initiatives: the VIP Shopper Club built a database of engaged customers, the Mall Insider Program drove awareness of events, Shop Simon extended the mall experience online and Simon Search enabled shoppers to check local product availability. These programs cultivated consumer behaviors and infrastructure that ultimately supported Simon+. Building Simon+ demanded extensive cross-functional collaboration, involving operations, leasing, product development and digital teams. The program launched in beta in August, with early results showing strong engagement from consumers and retailers alike.

The Next Frontier in Search

Search is no longer about keywords—it is becoming the central nervous system of retail, acting as both a cultural radar and a transactional bridge between shoppers and retailers. The future of search is moving to conversational, context-aware and agent-mediated experiences that will redefine how consumers discover products and how retailers must structure their data and content.

Ranjeet Bhosale, VP, Digital Product Management, Target, underscored the fundamental shift from keyword-based search to conversational queries. He noted that traditional two-word searches are giving way to natural language prompts like, “What’s a good gift for a 9-year-old?” To prepare for this, Target is investing heavily in foundational data infrastructure, ensuring that product details—price, promotions, availability and policies—are machine-readable. This is essential for the emerging model of “agent-to-agent commerce,” where customer assistants (like Alexa and Google) directly interact with retailer systems. He stressed that the best search experience is the one that feels invisible: reducing guest friction so effectively that shoppers no longer reformulate queries.

A person in a suit speaking AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Ranjeet Bhosale, VP, Digital Product Management, Target
Source: Shoptalk Fall

 

Retail Media’s Expanding Horizons

Retail media is not only the fastest-growing advertising channel but also one of the most versatile, ready to benefit from AI advancements. For brands, digital endcaps are high-impact yet underutilized spaces, while performance TV and in-store experiential activations can drive additional sales. The real opportunity lies in using AI to connect inspiration with conversion, creating personalized, native experiences that enhance the customer journey rather than interrupt it.

Andrew Lipsman, Founder & Chief Analyst, Media, Ads + Commerce, highlighted the physical store as the next major frontier for retail media. Currently representing just 0.1% of ad spend, in-store retail media has enormous untapped potential. With in-store audiences twice the size of digital audiences, retailers such as CVS, Best Buy and Hy-Vee, are already investing in digital signage and endcaps. “Whether a static or digital endcap, it drives significant sales,” Lipsman said, describing the digital endcap as one of the most valuable but undervalued pieces of retail real estate. Experiential activations in-store are also a powerful tool for driving incremental sales and lifetime value.

Unified Commerce: Breaking Down the Walls

Speakers noted that unified commerce goes beyond linking transactions—it connects the entire customer journey before, during and after a purchase. Achieving this means breaking down data and operational silos so that online and physical channels work together seamlessly, informing and enhancing each other.

Spencer Hewett, Founder & CEO, Radar, said the “missing ingredient in omnichannel has been the ability to measure the physical store.” He explained that while distribution centers offer high accuracy, most retailers still lack clear visibility into what customers are picking up, trying on or putting down in stores. Hewett said American Eagle now conducts 24 billion RFID counts per day across its stores, giving real-time instrumentation comparable to e-commerce. He emphasized that stockouts should no longer happen in 2025: “If you can find the product for the customer, you can sell more product.”

Hewett gave an example of linking marketing to in-store behavior, pointing to a Sidney Sweeney campaign that led to a major spike in store traffic over a weekend. With real-time measurement, the company was able to quickly see conversion rates and tie campaign performance directly to sales. He also predicted that agentic AI and AR glasses will make the world itself a shopping environment, with recommendations surfacing automatically as customers interact with products.

Creativity, Joy and Storytelling

Creative leaders reminded audiences that retail is at its best when it delivers originality, bold ideas and authentic stories—not just promotions or tech upgrades. Jonathan Adler, Founder & Chief Creative Officer of Jonathan Adler, explained that stores should spark joy and feel like “mini vacations,” filled with surprise, swagger and theatricality. He warned that copying the same bland format across all locations drains retail of its magic and emotional pull.

Emerging brands showed how fresh thinking can break through crowded categories. Fiona Simmonds, Co-Founder, Pinkie, said that the company tapped into overlooked needs around puberty products, winning shelf space at Amazon, Target, Walmart and CVS by positioning itself as a go-to solution for moms shopping for daughters. She stressed the importance of knowing both the purchaser and the end-user and using humor and education to reach them in the right spaces online. Similarly, Carly Bigi, Founder & CEO, Laws of Motion, explained how AI-powered apparel sizing—built on billions of data points and proven in its own DTC business—can hit 99% accuracy and slash returns to just 1%.

3. Brand Identity, Loyalty and Customer Experience in a Shifting World

Creativity That Connects

Earning loyalty in today’s fragmented market takes more than smart algorithms. It requires stories that feel real, messages that resonate with culture and a balance between digital precision and human connection. The brands that win are those that fuse AI-powered insights with creativity—solving practical needs while also building an emotional bond with consumers.

Debbie Woloshin, Chief Marketing Officer, Stitch Fix, described how her company embodies this hybrid approach. Stitch Fix leverages AI for data-driven personalization, matching customers with clothing that suits their size, preferences and lifestyle. But Woloshin emphasized that it is the human stylists who deliver trust and empathy, making customers feel understood. She cited the mantra: “We are powered by AI, but styled by humans.” Programs, such as Retail Therapy and Unscripted, use client stories as content, bringing community and authenticity into the brand narrative. Meanwhile, Stitch Fix is piloting new tools, including virtual try-ons, conversational commerce and Stylist Notes to deepen engagement. These tools are designed not to replace stylists but to augment their creativity and efficiency, demonstrating how AI and human intuition can work hand-in-hand to create stronger customer relationships.

Cultural Relevance and Heritage

As consumer demographics shift and social norms evolve, brands must balance heritage with adaptability. Staying relevant means meeting people where they are—across cultures, life stages and new channels. Brands that overlook these cultural and demographic shifts risk losing their place in consumers’ lives.

Leah Johns, Head of Global Consumer Lab at Bain & Company, highlighted key shifts shaping today’s consumers: aging populations, changing family structures and rising loneliness. She divided seniors into two groups—“Gold,” who travel and spend, and “Old,” facing health declines. Single-person households are growing fastest globally, and family structures are more fluid, with pets often replacing children and plants replacing pets. She also noted that consumers are transferring expectations across categories—demanding the same convenience in apparel as they do from Spotify or Netflix.

Brands must recognize that culture increasingly shapes buying decisions. Latino content is proliferating, and products and experiences inspired by Latino culture are gaining popularity. Young, bilingual Latinos are driving growth in content consumption and online shopping, often using digital channels as a substitute for in-store visits. Personalization is valued, but shoppers also want transparency and control. Social media and online reviews remain key drivers of brand discovery.

4. Leading Through Volatility and Change

Retail leader discussed that disruptions are creating both pressure and opportunity: tariffs create permission to innovate, AI is maturing from hype to board-level action, Gen Z is redefining the role of stores, and loyalty and media are undergoing fundamental reinvention. Constraints and complexity are forcing retailers to act faster, rethink what creates value and make bold bets on AI and new customer engagement models.

Deborah Weinswig, CEO & Founder, Coresight Research, explained that tariffs, which cut into margins at companies, such as Gap and Lululemon, have paradoxically given leaders “permission to try something totally new.” She said boards are now urging teams to move faster, supported by tools like AI to quickly disseminate critical information.

Weinswig highlighted the rise of private label as a structural response to margin pressure, noting that in some cases it has grown from 10% to 30% of mix, giving retailers flexibility and higher margins. On AI, she saw marketing and inventory as the two most immediate opportunities: marketing pilots can deliver results in as little as 3–4 months, while inventory applications like sizing, allocation and forecasting can reduce waste and even extend back into materials sourcing.

Joe Laszlo, Global Head of Insights, Shoptalk, observed that constraints often unlock creativity. He said the physical store, once considered “old-fashioned,” is returning to relevance, with malls becoming newly important. Holden Bale, Global Chief Strategy Officer, Merkle, supported this, citing Merkle research showing that 81% of Gen Z prefer in-store shopping, higher than any other generation. He called the physical–digital divide a “false dichotomy” and described stores as a force multiplier.

Ben Miller, VP of Original Content & Strategy at Shoptalk, described retail as part of the larger attention economy. He highlighted the rising power of creators and influencers, noting that as platforms like Google Gemini surface more influencer-driven content, they will play a bigger role in product discovery. Miller stressed that retailers must prepare for a future where earned media is just as important as paid advertising.

A person sitting in a chair AI-generated content may be incorrect.

Deborah Weinswig, Founder & CEO, Coresight Research
Source: Shoptalk Fall

 

What We Think

The Coresight Research View on AI

We stand at the cusp of a new revolution in AI with the advent of agentic AI.

The first generation of AI/ML (machine learning) centers on the ability of AI to find relationships—even hidden ones—among large amounts of data, and ML excels at prediction and optimization. The steady improvement in computing power, driven by Moore’s Law, and the resulting decrease in the cost of computing, aided by cloud computing, have served to enable greater capabilities of AI/ML. Today, AI/ML still offers productivity gains and optimization benefits for retailers and other enterprises.

The advent of GenAI, the second generation of AI, adds the ability to communicate in natural human language to handle unstructured data, such as text, audio and video. Early GenAI applications were the creation and summarization of text and chatbots with natural language interfaces. Multimodal models enable the analysis and creation of voice and video, as well as synthetic data and computer code. We have also seen the creation of applications that manage multiple language models as well as the formation of businesses with new business models that are entirely built on GenAI technology. Combining AI/ML for making predictions with GenAI for its ability to generate multiple media outputs offers many powerful new capabilities.

Agentic AI builds upon GenAI’s ability to understand natural human language, which is used to create the instructions that agents follow. Agents take action, activating other software, following instruction or acting proactively on behalf of humans. We are in the early stages of the agentic AI revolution, with major cloud computing platforms offering developer tools and a few enterprises just beginning to roll out agents. The future promises AI agents everywhere and their value could increase even further from agent-to-agent communication.

Agentic AI is just one of the AI trends that Coresight Research predicts for retail in 2026 and beyond. We expect 2026 to be a pivotal year for the development of AI, with many GenAI projects seeing deployment. These projects will likely come in a variety of forms, including direct tests with language models; AI models offered by major cloud-service and enterprise software providers; and enterprise applications that control and monitor AI models. Healthy investments in AI and research into new AI technologies will likely result in new models that dramatically leapfrog the technology currently available.

Implications from This Report

The Shoptalk Fall 2025 conference outlined how retailers must rethink their playbooks to stay resilient in uncertain times. Success depends on blending human creativity with AI-driven tools, adapting fast to cultural and economic shifts and leading decisively through disruption.

Implications for Brands/Retailers

  • Align AI initiatives with specific business goals, ensuring every investment drives tangible results like increased revenue or efficiency. Brands and retailers should start with quick wins in marketing and inventory management, where results can be seen in a short period, then scale successful pilots across operations.
  • Treat physical stores as more than sales floors—they are key customer acquisition hubs, insight generators and media platforms.
  • Prepare for conversational commerce by making all product data machine-readable. The future of retail search will be natural language queries handled by AI agents, requiring retailers to structure their information clearly so algorithms can easily understand and recommend the right products.

Implications for Technology Vendors

  • Develop platforms that can rapidly test and scale innovations across multiple channels. Technology vendors who can help retailers move from pilot to full deployment in months rather than years will have a significant competitive advantage.
  • Create measurement and analytics tools that connect online behavior to in-store actions. The ability to track customer journeys across all touchpoints and provide real-time insights will be crucial as unified commerce becomes the standard.
  • As search evolves from keywords to conversational queries, vendors should offer solutions that help retailers organize their data to be machine-readable and compatible with emerging “agent-to-agent commerce”. There is also a significant opportunity to provide tools for in-store retail media and experiential activations.

Notes

Data in this report are as of September 24, 2025.

Companies mentioned in this report include: American Eagle (NYSE: AEO), Bain & Company, Best Buy (NYSE: BBY), Coframe, Consortium Brands, CVS Health (NYSE: CVS), Gap (NYSE: GPS), H&M (STO: HM-B), Hydrow, Hy-Vee, LON: WPP), Lowe’s (NYSE: LOW), Lululemon (NASDAQ: LULU), Merkle (owned by Dentsu, TYO: 4324), Nutrabolt, REI, Sam’s Club (Walmart, NYSE: WMT), Shein, Simon Property Group (NYSE: SPG), Target (NYSE: TGT), U.S. Polo Association and Wayfair (NYSE: W).

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