• Although US retail inventory-to-sales ratios have increased in 2022, they have yet to match pre-pandemic levels, according to the US Census Bureau.
  • For the holiday season specifically, the average inventory-to-sales ratio was 1.44 in pre-pandemic 2019 and has steadily dropped since.
  • The overall figures conceal that some retailers are inundated with stock due to a gross imbalance in expected demand and delayed receipts of merchandise for prior seasons.

As part of our 10-week Countdown to Holiday 2022 series, we assess the impact of the supply chain crisis and excess inventory issues on major US retailers this holiday season. Click the image below to read the full report.

Reasons to Read

Our weekly Earnings Insights reports feature highlights from recent management commentary from major US retailers within our Coresight 100 coverage list, as they report third-quarter 2022 earnings.

This week, there are highlights from companies that reported in the week ended October 6, 2022, across multiple sectors: apparel and footwear brand owners, beauty brands and retailers, CPG, drugstore retailers, food retailers and home and home-improvement retailers.

Data in this report are:

  • Quarterly data from companies, including gross margins and sales data by brand (where applicable), channel and geography

Companies mentioned in this report include: Carter’s Inc., The Clorox Company, CVS Health Corporation, The Estée Lauder Companies, Floor & Decor Holdings and Gildan Activewear

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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research weekly US Consumer Tracker presents a detailed update on US consumers’ behavior and expectations, with a focus on the implications for US retail. This week, we analyze how purchases in-store and online have fallen across the board.

Data in this report include:

  • What consumers have bought online and in-store in the past two weeks
  • Which retailers consumers purchased food and nonfood products from in the past two weeks
  • Activities consumers have done in the past two weeks
  • Public places consumers are currently avoiding

Companies mentioned in this report include: Amazon, Dollar General, Dollar Tree/Family Dollar, Target, Walmart

Other relevant research:

  • Read our full series of US Consumer Tracker and US Consumer Tracker Extra reports
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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research and IRI monthly US CPG Sales Tracker provides our data-driven insights into online sales trends in the US CPG industry—covering the product categories of food & beverage, health & beauty, and general merchandise & homecare. In this free report, we present five key insights from the four weeks ended October 2, 2022.

Data in this report include:

  • CPG e-commerce, multi outlet and convenience stores (MULOC) and total sales growth
  • CPG e-commerce sales for the period ended October 2, 2022
  • E-commerce CPG sales growth by category type
  • Food and beverage departments: e-commerce and total sales growth for the four weeks ended October 2, 2022
  • Nonfood departments: e-commerce and total sales growth, four weeks ended October 2, 2022

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Coresight 100 is our focus list of retailers, brand owners and retail-related firms, spanning Asia, Europe and the US. We profile each company, covering the following content:

  • Countries of operation and key product categories
  • Annual metrics—including revenues, operating margin and global store numbers
  • Our insights into the company’s operations, including consideration of headwinds and tailwinds
  • Business strategy
  • Recent company developments
  • The company’s current management team

Click here to see our full Coresight 100 list and related reports.

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Reasons to Read

Home Depot and Lowe’s are the leading US home-improvement retailers. In this Head-to-Head report, we provide comparative analysis of their financial performance as well as key strategies.

Data in this report include:

  • US home-improvement sector size and year-over-year percentage change, 2017–2026
  • Company overviews of Home Depot and Lowe’s
  • Home Depot and Lowe’s revenue and revenue growth, 2016–2022
  • Home Depot and Lowe’s revenue by geography, fiscal 2021
  • Home Depot vs. Lowe’s revenue by product, fiscal 2021

 Companies mentioned in this report include: Adobe, Askuity, HD Supply Holdings, Home Depot, Lowe’s

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Reasons to Read

Reflecting the weakened trajectory of retail sales, and cycling an exceptionally strong 2021 holiday season, retailers overall this holiday season are adding far fewer temporary workers. As part of our 10-week Countdown to Holiday 2022 series, we assess the trends and challenges that we predict will characterize seasonal hiring in retail this year. 

Data in this report are:

  • Additional holiday labor hired by selected leading retail and logistics companies 
  • Selected leading retail and logistics companies’ holiday hiring plans
  • Total retail job openings and retail job openings as a share of total nonfarm
  • US retail employment: share by retail subsectors, 2021 and YTD 2022
  • Employment growth by subsector

Companies mentioned in this report include: Amazon, Kohl’s, Macy’s, Michaels Stores, Target and Walmart

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Reasons to Read

In each report in the Weinswig’s Weekly series, Coresight Research CEO and Founder Deborah Weinswig reflects on a topical theme in retail. This week, Deborah Weinswig discusses her recent presentation at Retail Innovation Club’s annual event, including how US consumers are navigating a kind of “chutes and ladders” (or snakes and ladders) economy, and our projection for US holiday retail sales.

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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research monthly US Housing Market Indicators report analyzes nine indicators to assess the health of the US housing market, with implications for home and home-improvement retailers. The most recent data show that all home sales have declined as mortgage rates rise.

Data in this report include:

  • US housing permits, starts and completions for September 2021–September 2022
  • US existing home sales for September 2021–September 2022
  • US pending home sales index for September 2021–September 2022, overall and by region
  • US new home sales and year-over-year change for September 2021–September 2022
  • US housing affordability index for August 2021–August 2022

 Companies mentioned in this report are: Floor and Decor, Home Depot and Lowe’s

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

The 2022 iteration of the world’s largest online shopping festival, Singles’ Day (also known as 11.11), is just one week away. We discuss the major e-commerce and social media platforms participating in this year’s event.

Data in this report are:

  • GMV of major platforms during the Singles’ Day 2021 festival

Companies mentioned in this report include: Alibaba, Douyin, the Estée Lauder Companies, JD.com and Kuaishou

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Our Weekly US and UK Store Openings and Closures Tracker reports on store closures, openings and bankruptcies.

Data in this report include:

  • 2022 week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the US and the UK
  • 2021 week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the US and the UK
  • 2022 major US store closures and openings
  • 2022 major UK store closures and openings

Companies mentioned in this report include: Carter’s, Dollar General, Ross Stores, Skechers and Tesco

Other relevant research:

Complementing our weekly report, the Coresight Research US Store Tracker Databank offers our premium subscribers access to openings and closures data from 2012 to 2022 year to date, filterable by sector and year.

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Reasons to Read

Coresight 100 is our focus list of retailers, brand owners and retail-related firms, spanning Asia, Europe and the US. We profile each company, covering the following content:

  • Countries of operation and key product categories
  • Annual metrics—including revenues, operating margin and global store numbers
  • Our insights into the company’s operations, including consideration of headwinds and tailwinds
  • Business strategy
  • Recent company developments
  • The company’s current management team

Click here to see our full Coresight 100 list and related reports.

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Coresight Bites provide free snapshots of Coresight Research data and findings. Subscribers can access the full research here. To find out how to subscribe, click here.

  • In the US, a large proportion of dollar-store food shoppers fall into the middle-income bracket. At Dollar General, consumers with household incomes between $50,000–$99,999 shopped with the retailer for food at a rate less than 6 PPTs lower than their lower-income counterparts.

Click the image to read more about the topic.

 

Reasons to Read

The metaverse is a key retail trend that Coresight Research is watching. However, it is still in its early stages and constantly evolving; there are challenges for brands and retailers in implementing Web 3.0 strategies to establish a presence in the metaverse.

We identify four key hurdles to metaverse adoption and discuss how retailers can overcome them. We cover technologies including AR, VR, blockchain and NFTs (non-fungible tokens).

Data in this report include:

  • Estimated value of retail sales in the metaverse and virtual stores
  • Total value of daily global NFT sales

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

We present our analysts’ expectations for the final-quarter peak in UK retailing, as part of our 10-week Countdown to Holiday 2022 series.

Data in this report are:

  • UK retail sales: YoY % change
  • UK retail sales: real YoY % change
  • UK consumer prices inflation: selected categories
  • UK average household domestic energy expenditure per year
  • UK Covid-19 restrictions in prior fourth quarters

Companies mentioned in this report include: ASOS, Currys, Tesco

Other relevant research:

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