Reasons to Read

Ken Fenyo, President, Head of Advisory and Research presents on Retail Media and Data Monetization: Maximizing Customer Engagement and Alternative Revenue​

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Reasons to Read

In this Market Outlook, we discuss the market size and trajectory of the e-commerce markets in China and the US, covering key market factors, competitive landscapes, retail innovators and themes we are watching.

Click here to explore more Coresight Research coverage of e-commerce giants such as Alibaba, Amazon and JD.com, as well as the global e-commerce market.

Read more reports in the Market Outlook series.

Contents (Click to navigate)

Introduction

Market Scale and Opportunity

Market Factors

Competitive Landscape

Themes We Are Watching

Retail Innovators

What We Think

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Reasons to Read

Coresight Research’s monthly Leading Indicators of US RetailSales series tracks several major macroeconomic indicators and their likely effect on US retail sales. We analyze the latest available data as of September 23, 2022.

This report includes discussion of the following 10 indicators:

  1. Unemployment rate
  2. Labor force participation rate
  3. Disposable income
  4. Average hourly wages
  5. Consumer sentiment
  6. Saving rate
  7. Gas prices
  8. Interest rate
  9. Housing starts
  10. Home price index

Click here to read the previous report in this series.

Coresight Research’s monthly reports keep you up to date on retail sales (in total and by sector) and key consumer indicators, focusing on the US, the UK and China. Click here to view our full collection of monthly reports.

Complementing our monthly reports, the Coresight Research US Retail Sales Databank brings together retail sales data to help you understand the scale and trajectory of US retail. 

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Reasons to Read

Coresight Research attended the Dreamforce 2022 technology conference, hosted by CRM (customer relationship management) technology provider Salesforce from September 20 to 22 in San Francisco, US.

In this report, we present key insights from the three-day event, covering the importance of data unification, collaboration and integration in the value chain, and the shift to e-commerce.

For more on Salesforce and its technologies, read our Tech 20 profile on the company, and access our insights from Salesforce Connections 2022.

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Reasons to Read

Implementing the right pricing strategy is essential for retailers to maximize profits. We discuss the complexities of retail pricing and price image.

We also present selected technology companies offering price-optimization platforms—including Impact Analytics, Microsoft, Oracle and more.

Read more Coresight Research coverage of retail technology.

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Reasons to Read

Our US Consumer Tracker Extra series offers a deeper dive into longer-term trends revealed by our weekly survey data. We examine who shops where by age and income, based on exclusive Coresight Research data.

We assess emerging trends in the following key areas:

  • Which retailers have seen shifts in their customer demographics from 2021 to 2022
  • Where consumers shop for food, by age and income
  • Where consumers shop for nonfood, by age and income

Click here to view our full collection of US Consumer Tracker  weekly survey reports. Premium subscribers can also access data from our weekly surveys in our US Consumer Tracker Databank.

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Reasons to Read

Earlier this year, members of the Coresight Research team visited four shopping destinations: two new malls, one new shopping center and one recently renovated shopping center. We will examine how these malls are operating through the lens of our proprietary BEST framework. Our insights cover the following:

  • How shopping centers and malls can use tenant selection to build an identity and cater to consumers
  • The word-of-mouth publicity experiential retail can build for shopping centers and malls
  • How unique services can set malls and centers apart from one another
  • The ways integrated technology can create a frictionless shopping experience

For more on Coresight Research’s proprietary BEST framework, read our report, BEST Framework—A New Era in Retail Excellence.

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Reasons to Read

China’s Golden Week, the week-long holiday following China’s National Day characterized by consumer spending on travel and tourism offerings, will take place on October 1–7, 2022. We present key insights ahead of the event, covering the following

  • The revenues of post-pandemic Golden Weeks compared to pre-pandemic events
  • The impact of the country’s Zero-Covid policy on the event and the travel sector overall
  • The economic challenges China currently faces and how they will affect Golden Week 2022

For more on the impact of China’s current policies and economic challenges on its retail environment, read Coresight Research’s report, Market Outlook: China Retail—The $6 Trillion Sector Recovers Slowly

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Reasons to Read

We present recent developments in the metaverse space—covering virtual worlds and platforms; brands and retailers; technology and access; and NFT (non-fungible token) collection drops.

We also discuss a key trend we are watching: virtual reality (VR) training in retail.

There are highlights from Porsche, Sprouts Farmers Market and more.

This report is part of our Metaverse Latest series, which provides regular updates on metaverse developments globally, showing how key players and new entrants are seizing opportunities in the space. In this report, we present developments as of September 14, 2022.

Read the previous report in the series, which discusses the Ethereum merge.

Click here to read more Coresight Research coverage of the metaverse, including our Ebook: Building Blocks of the Metaverse.

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Reasons to Read

Coresight Research’s September 19, 2022, survey provides a detailed update on US consumers’ behavior and expectations, with a focus on the implications for US retail.

This week’s US Consumer Tracker covers the following:

  • What consumers are doing and where they are going—including avoidance of public places
  • Which retailers consumers are buying from—for food and nonfood purchases
  • What shoppers are buying online and in-store
  • How consumers are changing their behaviors in response to inflation

Complementing our weekly survey reports, our monthly US Consumer Tracker Extra series offers additional insight, including long-term consumer trends and a detailed analysis of where current patterns will lead in the coming months. Click here to view our full collection of US Consumer Tracker and US Consumer Tracker Extra reports.

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Introduction

Coresight Research will hold its third annual 10.10 Shopping Festival on October 10, 2022, in partnership with livestream shopping platform MARKET by Verb Technology Company (VERB), video-shopping SaaS (software-as-a-service) provider Bambuser and influencer commerce company Nillio. We explore the details in this report.

The 10.10 Shopping Festival 2022: A Primer

The 10.10 Shopping Festival is a shopping holiday that was launched in 2020 by Coresight Research. Created amid the upheaval and uncertainty of the Covid-19 pandemic, 10.10 was established with the goal of supporting retailers in challenging times. The benefits to retailers include bringing demand for holiday shopping forward to help alleviate the strain of supply chain logistics at the busiest time of the year.

In its inaugural year, the 10.10 Shopping Festival featured participating brands and retailers in the fashion sector and had the backing of 13 supporting partners, including technology firms, startups and retail industry players. Charitable giving is a key differentiator of the 10.10 Shopping Festival: in 2020, the event supported 13 charities.

In 2021, the 10.10 Shopping Festival saw participation from 33 brands and retailers across accessories, apparel, baby products, beauty, electronics, footwear and home goods, among which 28 hosted livestreaming sessions during the festival. The festival partnered with 14 charities. Two of those charities, Soles4Souls and National Breast Cancer Foundation (NBCF), livestreamed to introduce their organizational mission and vision.

This year, 10.10 will again provide brands and retailers with opportunities to showcase special deals, new products or compelling offerings.

Participants—retailers, brands and even charities—will be encouraged to engage with the hottest and fastest-growing sales medium in retail: livestreaming e-commerce. The festival will be focused on accelerating US consumer adoption of livestreaming; Coresight Research survey findings from February 2022 indicate that just 32.2% of US consumers have watched a shoppable livestream, indicating huge opportunity in the online live-shopping space.

Who Can Participate? 

The 10.10 Shopping Festival aims to give back to charities, and we identify opportunities for charitable organizations to undertake activities in their own right and to partner with brands and retailers to drive donations. 

10.10 is open to all brands and retailers that want to participate in an innovative way to connect with their customers. 

Companies can request to be sponsors of parts of the event, enabling firms in the wider retail industry to participate.  

Consumers will be able to access the event on multiple sites or apps and will be encouraged to shop early for the holidays. In this inflationary retail environment, the 10.10 Shopping Festival helps consumers find more value offerings.  

What Are the Benefits? 

For brands and retailers, 10.10 offers several benefits:

  • It provides opportunities for companies to give back and to be associated with charitable efforts. 
  • It will enable companies to kick-start their holiday quarter with a high-profile, innovative event. In doing so, it will pull forward some holiday spending and thus help to alleviate supply chain pressures, such as in fulfillment.
  • Companies will be encouraged to participate via the still-new medium of livestreaming e-commerce. This will enable those new to livestreaming to trial the medium in a one-time, highly time- and commitment-limited way. Brands and retailers can connect with livestreaming enablers such as platforms and advisors, providing a valuable introduction to the medium. 

Who Are the Technology Partners? 

Coresight Research will spearhead 10.10, facilitated by MARKET by VERB, Bambuser and Nillio.

Livestreaming is just beginning to take hold in the US and is a powerful way for brands to engage with consumers. Each partner company offers innovative solutions that are disrupting the retail industry (see details in Figure 1).

Figure 1. 10.10 Shopping Festival 2022: Technology Partners

wdt_ID Platform Year Founded Headquarters Overview
1 MARKET by VERB 2022 (Year the platform was launched) Lehi, Utah, US MARKET is a 24/7, multi-vendor, livestream shopping platform designed to host simultaneous livestream shopping sessions by brands and retailers. The platform is owned by VERB, a leader in interactive video-based sales applications that transform how businesses attract and engage customers.
2 Bambuser 2007 Stockholm, Sweden Bambuser specializes in interactive live video streaming. The company's primary product, Live Video Shopping, is a cloud-based software solution that is used by customers such as global e-commerce and retail businesses to host live shopping experiences on websites, mobile apps and social media.
3 Nillio 2020 Cooper City, Florida, US Nillio is a social commerce platform through which influencers earn commission by promoting and selling a curated selection of their favorite brands on their own online storefront. By working with Nillio, brands and retailers can align interests with a large pool of influencers and empower them to create storefronts and generate commission from selling branded products.

Source: Company reports

 

How Can I Find Out More or Take Part?

Companies and charities interested in participating or requiring more information can contact the 10.10 team via 1010Festival@stage.coresight.com or through the official website.

Leading up to the event, Coresight Research will publish a series of reports that include a more detailed view of the 10.10 Shopping Festival and regular updates. Keep up to date on stage.coresight.com.

Reasons to Read

In each report in the Weinswig’s Weekly series, Coresight Research CEO and Founder Deborah Weinswig reflects on a topical theme in retail. This week’s note “From the Desk of Deborah Weinswig” discusses high cart abandonment rates—retail’s persistent challenge.

Each report also includes recent retail and technology headlines from Asia, Europe and the US.

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Introduction

The Coresight Research team attended and participated in this year’s Groceryshop conference, held on September 19–22, 2022, in Las Vegas, US. The event brought together retail leaders and industry experts from around the world to explore the changing grocery landscape and address current challenges.

We present our top insights from day four of Groceryshop 2022 on September 22.

Groceryshop 2022 Day Four: Coresight Research Insights

Building Long-Term Customer Loyalty for CPGs and Grocers

Ken Fenyo, President, Research & Advisory at Coresight Research, was joined by a panel of industry experts at Grocersyhop to explore how CPG and grocery companies can build long-term customer loyalty, particularly in the current challenging macroeconomic environment.

The panel emphasized that flexibility will be key. So far, loyalty has been built on what we think consumers value—now, retailers must incorporate what really matters. Fenyo identified a major gap in consumer personalization, emphasizing that there is much room to improve in terms of providing products and content that is contextually relevant to consumers. Partnerships can be critical to enhancing loyalty efforts—yet, historically, companies have wanted to build their loyalty programs themselves.

Coresight Research
Fenyo highlights the importance of flexibility when building customer loyalty programs
Source: Coresight Research

 

Cheryl Munce, SVP, Retail Media & E-Commerce Sales Strategy at Smarty Pants Vitamins (Unilever), emphasized the importance of building a rapport with shoppers in order to develop a sense of community. She also addressed techniques for building loyalty online and offline: the consumer, she stated, is an everywhere consumer, and retailers must get creative to reach consumers memorably with a consistent message across channels.

Sofia Laurell, Co-Founder and Co-CEO of Tiny Organics, highlighted that the experience and emotional bond with consumers is beyond transactional. To build on this, Laurell hosts supper clubs for Tiny Organics—currently via video calls, but soon in person again.

Coresight Research
From left to right: Munce; Laurell; Michael McGowan, SVP, Commercial Insights & Loyalty at 84.51; and Fenyo
Source: Coresight Research

 

Five Untapped Opportunities and Channels for Growth

On the final day of Groceryshop, many discussions focused on untapped opportunities and channels for future growth. We identified five opportunities that gained significant attention: how to improve brand and retailer relationships; experimenting with alternative business models such as B2B; tapping into the health and wellness trend; scaling new products and initiatives; and leveraging retail media.

Tomorrow Retail Consulting’s presentation on future opportunities for grocers
Tomorrow Retail Consulting’s presentation on future opportunities for grocers
Source: Tomorrow Retail Consulting/Coresight Research

 

1. Brand-Retailer Relationships

During one of the first discussions of the final day of Groceryshop 2022, Stephen Mewborn, Partner at Bain & Company, discussed the challenges of changing brand-retailer relationships. One of the most notable changes is the rapid growth of online grocery, which is pressuring retailers’ profit margins and surety of supplies, as well as their ability to achieve ambitious environmental, social and governance (ESG) goals. It is also changing how brands can drive growth, as brands need to produce more targeted, precise and personalized marketing, improve the shopper journey, test products quickly to innovate and tackle distribution problems.

Mewborn stated that only one-third of joint business plans currently create value for both sides. Negotiating a new settlement will be difficult, as both sides will need to cultivate new capabilities, develop new methods of collaboration and build greater trust, he emphasized. The traditional low-margin, business-to-consumer (B2C) model will need to be upgraded with new profit pools, such as by launching a B2B model, driving higher margins and using digital assets.

Kroger has made changes to distribution and fulfillment to improve its business model, according to Bill Bennett, VP, Head of E-Commerce at Kroger. The company has launched six fulfillment centers and 12 automated “spoke” centers, and it has entered six new markets, since the 2018 announcement of its exclusive US partnership with Ocado.

Bennett and Brian Rudolph, Co-Founder and CEO at food manufacturer Banza, discussed the importance of brands and retailers aligning incentives and planning through open discussion. Rudolph noted that retailers that are easily able to provide access to sales data are much easier for partners to work with, and enable Banza to better allocate inventory.

2. B2B

Jordan Berke, Founder and CEO of Tomorrow Retail Consulting, presented several untapped growth opportunities for retailers, as the rapidly evolving retail environment requires new strengths and capabilities. Berke stated that e-commerce has leveled the playing field in B2B and generated greater opportunities for grocery retailers. He also highlighted data as an opportunity for growth. Currently, data is a significant pain point for retailers that are unable to get clean, consistent data, presenting an opportunity for grocers that possess this data.

Berke also highlighted health and wellness (discussed in detail in the next section) as a key opportunity. In order to seize these opportunities, retailers in the grocery space must be willing to prioritize drivers of growth, whether financial, strategic or operational.

Tomorrow Retail Consulting/Coresight Research
Tomorrow Retail Consulting examines the opportunities of B2B
Source: Tomorrow Retail Consulting/Coresight Research

 

Andrew Lederman, Head of BEES Marketplace, AB InBev, discussed the importance of business innovation and collaboration in developing and optimizing B2B capabilities, not only through technology but also through the business process. Lederman emphasized the importance of internal roadshows for BEES Marketplace, in which pilots and case studies enable the numbers to speak for themselves.

3. Health and Wellness

Chris Foltz, Chief Innovation Officer at Heinen’s Grocery Store, spoke about how Heinen’s is delivering health and wellness solutions to consumers in a simple and accessible way: Heinen’s is positioning itself as a translator and connector for consumers to health and wellness products, such as supplements and food solutions. Heinen’s is also focusing on the health of the body and mind through Club FX, a free program for Heinen’s Tasteful Rewards members that offer nutrition tips, recipes, discounts and partnerships with chiropractors, yoga studios and fitness centers.

Dr Todd Pesek
Dr Todd Pesek, Chief Medical Officer at Heinen’s, offers advice to Club FX members on supplement use
Source: Company website

 

4. Scaling New Products and Initiatives

Kelly Edwards, Partner at Bain & Company, discussed the main challenges of marketing and scaling new products and initiatives: developing a winning brand strategy; creating new connected consumer experiences; marketing in a recession; modern marketing operations; and promotions strategies.

Edwards presented four tips to tackle these challenges:

  • Brands and retailers should anchor their strategy in a business objective by identifying a high-value opportunity—for example, that marketing effectiveness will improve by 20%.
  • Brands and retailers should co-create plans.
  • Retailers should take a number of steps to conduct marketing experimentation effectively, from producing test designs and setup to drawing insights and codifying the process.
  • Brands and retailers should experiment with marketing locally but scaling globally.

Executives from Spread The Love Foods, BJ’s Wholesale Club and PepsiCo Ventures Group participated in a panel discussion and shared their experiences.

Heather Hacker, VP of Digital Experience & Programs at BJ’s Wholesale Club, spoke about how BJ’s is piloting delivery schemes and new health and wellness products. BJ’s has seen BOPIS (buy online, pick up in-store) growth. In health and wellness, the retailer has observed that consumers are shopping for particular diet types and responded by making changes in its merchandising and data analysis. Hacker stated that it is important to set key performance indicators (KPIs)—measurements for success and identifications of failure—and explained that when BJ’s was testing new shipping promotions, it did not set its KPIs correctly: orders boomed but average order volume dropped.

Daniel Grubbs, Global Chief Venturing & Investment Officer at PepsiCo Ventures Group, stated that Pepsi has been looking into soda products in functional health areas such as brain health and gut health.

5. Retail Media

Kristi Argyilan, SVP, Retail Media at Albertsons, spoke about how Albertsons is approaching retail media as a relatively late mover. Argyilan stated that introducing retail media “significantly transformed” Albertsons—and there were advantages to its later entrance, such as already having the learnings of the marketplace and entering with new technology, not legacy systems. Argyilan emphasized that retail media should not be intrusive and should include personalized messaging. Argyilan concluded that retail media is serving Albertsons well: in only six months, Albertsons has seen significant growth in the results that the company is achieving for its clients.

Emily Frankel, SVP, Head of E-Commerce Marketing at PepsiCo, discussed how retail media can deliver personalization at scale. Retail media’s impact on sales is incremental; however, PepsiCo has identified issues in its execution and has been building a toolkit to address this since 2015. Frankel recommended that looking forward, retailers should not only consider lower-funnel sales objectives, but focus on the data that will enable retailers to better reach consumers.

Ethan Goodman, SVP, Commerce Media at The Mars Agency, also underlined the importance of accessing data, quantifying the impact of retail media and translating this into better connections with consumers.

Coresight Research
Slide from the “Developing an Effective Retail Media Network Strategy” session
Source: Coresight Research

 

Key Themes from Groceryshop 2022

In their review of Groceryshop 2022 on day four, the Groceryshop team (Krystina Gustafson, SVP of Content; Joe Laszlo, VP Content; and Ben Miller, Director of Original Content), identified five key themes throughout this year’s conference: inflation and the economy; redefining convenience; evolving brand and retailer relationships; engaging shoppers; and grocery tech trends.

Amid elevated inflation, retailers discussed how to respond to the challenging economic environment, including focusing on private label, introducing loyalty programs, promotions and delivery options that provide value, improving operational efficiency and building brand affinity.

Retail leaders also debated whether we are living through a once-in-a-generation redefining of convenience. Industry leaders offered various strategies to heighten consumer convenience, including making every customer touchpoint shoppable; being where customers are; and harnessing data. This engagement with data is of particular importance, since data is fundamental to understanding and responding to all shifts in grocery retail.

The role of retail media networks was a key focal point in discussion of the evolving relationship between retailers and brands. On day three, retailers and technology innovators discussed new tactics they are deploying to engage shoppers, including through livestreaming, personalization and social media. The top grocery tech trends discussed during Groceryshop 2022 revolved around achieving sustainability initiatives, efficiency of fulfillment and new product trials.