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The monthly Coresight Research US Retail Sales Outlook series tracks several major macroeconomic indicators and their likely effect on US retail sales. In this report, we analyze the latest available data as of April 21, 2025.

Alongside this report, you can access the data behind key charts and tables in the Excel download above.

Data in this research report include:

Our projections for retail sales growth by month for the next 12 months
Proprietary survey data on consumer sentiment in the US
US actual retail sales versus model-predicted sales
US unemployment rate and labor force participation rate
US average hourly wages for all private-sector employees
US annualized real disposable income per capita

Other relevant research:

Coresight Research’s monthly reports keep you up to date on retail sales (in total and by sector) and key consumer indicators in the US.
The US Retail Sales Databank features retail sales values and year-over-year growth, in total and by sector, by year and by month. This Databank is updated monthly.

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The Coresight Research weekly US Consumer Survey Insights series takes a regular temperature check on US consumers’ behaviors and sentiment, based on exclusive proprietary survey data.

The latest data in this report are from our survey conducted on April 14, 2025, with headline findings on an uptick in consumers’ economic expectations.

In addition to our usual weekly findings on consumer sentiment, activities and shopping patterns, we dive into data on drugstore and pharmacy shopping specifically. Uncover popular retailers and product categories.

Data in this research report are our latest proprietary survey findings on:

Consumers’ expectations for the economy overall and for their own personal financial situation—plus, breakdowns of our findings by income
Popular retailers and product categories among drugstore and pharmacy shoppers
Where consumers have bought food and nonfood products from in the last two weeks
What consumers have bought in-store and online in the last two weeks
Activities that consumers have done in the past two weeks

Companies mentioned in this research report include: CVS Health, Rite Aid, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Walmart

Other relevant research:

The Rise of GLP-1 Drugs: Unveiling New Horizons in the US Healthcare Space
US Drugstores— Retail 2025 Sector Outlook: Low-Single-Digit Sales Growth Amid a Focus on Cutting Costs
More reports on drugstores and healthcare
All our coverage of tariffs
Coresight Research US Consumer Survey Databank provides additional insight into US consumer behaviors from our weekly surveys.
The Weekly US Consumer Sentiment infographic series highlights key Coresight Research findings on economic and financial expectations in the context of shifts in the macroeconomic landscape.

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Amid current, challenging economic times, interest in sustainability is regrettably likely to take a secondary importance for many companies. However, Coresight Research believes that sustainability is not antithetical to profitability.

As retailers and brands reflect on the environmental impacts of their business this Earth Day (April 22, 2025), we explore five key areas where emerging technology can help to enhance sustainability while simultaneously improving revenues or reducing costs—in effect, doing good while doing well.

Data in this research report include:

Proprietary survey data on reasons for online apparel returns and what share of consumers planned to participate in the secondhand market while shopping for the 2024 holiday season
The estimated value of all food wasted across the supply chain in 2024
The estimated size of the US fashion resale market, 2025 and 2028

Companies mentioned in this report include: Apple, Amazon, Avery Dennison, Digital Wave Technologies, Invent.ai, Kroger, Macy’s, Inc., Meta Platforms, RELEX, SAP, Shein, Target, ThredUp, Walmart

Other relevant research:

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Welcome to Analyst Corner! Every Sunday, a member of the Coresight Research team discusses upcoming or recent research and their thoughts on interesting topics in their area of expertise.

This week, John Mercer, Head of Global Research, discusses Shein’s business model, highlighting insights from the company that were presented at the Retail Technology Show 2025.

Understand the company’s approach to aligning supply and demand in the fashion industry, and its implications for sustainability.

We also highlight our key research from the past week and upcoming reports to look out for, so you don’t miss out.

Other relevant research:

More of our insights from the Retail Technology Show 2025
Event presentation: What Can Retailers Learn from Shein and Temu?
More coverage of sustainability in retail
Visit the Coresight Research Fashion and Luxury Hub to explore sector data, reports and company profiles.
Read previous Analyst Corner reports, including last week’s report, which offers technology-focused highlights from Shoptalk Spring 2025.

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Reasons to Read

Our Weekly UK Store Openings and Closures Tracker series reports on store closures, openings and bankruptcies in the UK.

This week, we highlight store-opening plans from B&M and Tesco, as well as Asda’s appointment of a new Chief People Officer. This report presents data up to week 16 of 2025, ended April 18, 2025.

Data in this research report include:

Week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the UK—2025 vs. 2024
Major UK store closures and openings—2025 and 2024

Companies mentioned in this report include: B&M, The Range, River Island, Søstrene Grene, Tesco, Winfields Outdoors

Other relevant research:

The full collection of Store Tracker reports
The US and UK Store Tracker Databank is the definitive resource for information on store openings and closures by sector in the US and UK retail industries.
The Retail Bankruptcies Databank details bankruptcies of US and UK retail companies, restaurants and gyms since March 2020.

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Our Weekly US Store Openings and Closures Tracker series reports on store closures, openings and bankruptcies in the US.

This week, we highlight the recent major store-closure plan announced by 7-Eleven, resulting in more than 300 closures. Non-store-closure news includes CVS Health appointing a new Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

This report presents data up to week 16 of 2025, ended April 18, 2025.

Data in this research report include:

Week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the US—2025 vs. 2024
Major US store closures and openings—2025 and 2024
Major US retail bankruptcies—2025 and 2024

Companies mentioned in this report include: 7-Eleven, Groupe Dynamite, IKEA, Rite Aid, Victoria’s Secret, Walgreens Boots Alliance

Other relevant research:

The full collection of Store Tracker reports
The US and UK Store Tracker Databank is the definitive resource for information on store openings and closures by sector in the US and UK retail industries.
The Retail Bankruptcies Databank details bankruptcies of US and UK retail companies, restaurants and gyms since March 2020.

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Our Three Data Points We’re Watching This Week series spotlights key data points from this week’s research.

Discover key data points we are watching in week 16 of 2025. This week, we present proprietary survey findings on US consumers’ expectations for Easter activities and spending.

Dive into the full research report behind these data points: Seasonal Shopping, 2Q25—Expectations for Easter, Memorial Day, Mother’s Day, Father’s Day; Plus, Holiday 2025 Plans: US Consumer Survey Insights Extra

Other relevant research:

All our coverage of US holiday retail and festivals/holidays
Read the full series of US Consumer Survey Insights and US Consumer Survey Insights Extra reports.
The Coresight Research US Consumer Survey Databank provides additional insight into US consumer behaviors from our weekly surveys.
All graphics in the Three Data Points series

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Reasons to Read

The beauty and personal care sector has long been on a resilient trajectory, both in India and in the US. Amid this resiliency, a noticeable shift has emerged: men are increasingly becoming active participants in the beauty space. What was once considered a predominantly female-oriented sector is now witnessing rising engagement from men worldwide, particularly in the skincare category.

Explore the evolving men’s skincare market in India and examine the underlying factors fueling the category’s growth. We also cover how emerging brands are leveraging emerging technologies, science-backed formulations and personalized solutions to redefine skincare products, as well as how both e-commerce and quick-commerce companies are making these products more accessible than ever

Data in this research report include:

The size of the men’s skincare category in India and year-over-year changes, 2020–2029E
Share of beauty and personal care sales in India by channel, 2023 and 2028E

Companies mentioned in this report include: Amazon, Beardo, Blinkit, Colgate-Palmolive, Flipkart, Gillette, Hindustan Unilever, L’Oréal, Marico, Minimalist, Myntra, Nykaa, Reckitt Benckiser, Walmart

Other relevant research:

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The US foodservice sector is undergoing a transformation as a result of value-driven consumer expectations, mergers and acquisitions (M&A) activity, and emerging technologies, among other factors.

In this Market Outlook, we explore the size and trajectory of the US foodservice sector (also known as the food-away-from-home sector) and key factors impacting growth. We also detail the overall sector’s competitive landscape and present key themes we are watching in 2025 and beyond.

Each Market Outlook offers our analysts’ definitive view of their sector. This research report includes proprietary forecasts, analysis of company metrics, exclusive consumer survey data and our analysts’ consideration of factors and themes in the market.

Data in this research report include:

Total foodservice sales in the US and year-over-year growth rates, 2020–2029E
Online meal delivery sales in the US and year-over-year growth rates, 2020–2029E
Proprietary survey data on consumers’ observations of restaurant menu price changes and their response to those changes
Major US Restaurant chains’ revenues and operating margins, 2020–2024
Food-away-from-home and food-at-home inflation in the US, January 2023–February 2025

Companies mentioned in this report include: Bain Capital, Burger King, CAVA, Chik-Fil-A, Chili’s, Chipotle, Darden Restaurants, Domino’s, McDonald’s, Starbucks, Subway, Wendy’s, Yum! Brands

Other relevant research:

US Grocery—Retail 2025 Sector Outlook: Volume Growth Headwinds To Continue
Visit the Coresight Research Food, Grocery and CPG Retail Hub to explore sector data, reports and company profiles.
All our Market Outlooks and Market Navigators

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Reasons to Read

As global trade tensions escalate and tariff policies evolve, we analyze how US consumer expectations compare to business confidence.

Dive into the latest data, including proprietary survey findings, to unpack a divergence in key sentiment metrics and understand what this mean for retail.

We point to a crucial window for strategic adaptation. Discover what smart companies should do now to navigate the uncertain retail landscape.

Other relevant research:

Tariffs + Consumer Sentiment: A Timeline, 2025
Webinar replay—Adapting to Tariff Pressures: Strategies for Retail Success
All our coverage of tariffs
The Coresight Research US Consumer Survey Databank provides additional insight into US consumer behaviors from our weekly surveys. Our Weekly US Consumer Sentiment infographic series complements our survey reports with selected findings on consumers’ financial and economic expectations each week.

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Reasons to Read

In March 2025, US retail sales (excluding gasoline and automobile sales) rebounded from February’s decline, despite concerns around tariffs. Using data from the US Census Bureau, we analyze US retail sales in February 2025, in total and by sector.

Data in this research report are:

Year-over-year changes in US total retail sales (excluding gasoline and automobiles), March 2024–March 2025
Year-over-year changes in retail sales by sector, February and March 2025

Other relevant research:

US Tariffs: Three Actions for Risk Mitigation and Long-Term Positioning
Inflation Up, Sentiment Down: Alarm Bells for the US Consumer Economy?
Our monthly reports keep you up to date on retail sales (in total and by sector) and key consumer indicators in the US.
All our coverage of macroeconomics
The US Retail Sales Databank features retail sales values and year-over-year growth, in total and by sector, by year and by month. This Databank is updated monthly.

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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research weekly US Consumer Survey Insights series takes a regular temperature check on US consumers’ behaviors and sentiment, based on exclusive proprietary survey data.

The latest data in this report are from our survey conducted on April 7, 2025, with headline findings on consumers’ financial and economic expectations following the announcement of reciprocal tariffs by the US government on April 2, 2025.

In addition to our usual weekly findings on consumer sentiment, activities and shopping patterns, we dive into data on clothing, apparel accessories and footwear shopping specifically. Uncover popular retailers, brands and product categories.

Data in this research report are our latest proprietary survey findings on:

Consumers’ expectations for the economy overall and for their own personal financial situation—plus, breakdowns of our findings by income
Popular retailers and product categories among apparel and footwear shoppers
Where consumers have bought food and nonfood products from in the last two weeks
What consumers have bought in-store and online in the last two weeks
Activities that consumers have done in the past two weeks

Companies mentioned in this research report include: Amazon, Foot Locker, Jordan, NIKE, Target, Temu, The North Face, Walmart

Other relevant research:

Weekly US Consumer Sentiment, Flash Preview: The Big Surprise in a Week of Shocks—Infographic
All our coverage of tariffs
US Apparel and Footwear—Retail 2025 Sector Outlook: Low-Single-Digit Growth Expected, with E-Commerce Capturing Share
Market Navigator: US Apparel and Footwear Retailing—Discounters Poised for Growth Amid Challenging Backdrop
Visit the Coresight Research Fashion and Luxury Hub to explore sector data, reports and company profiles.
Coresight Research US Consumer Survey Databank provides additional insight into US consumer behaviors from our weekly surveys

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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research monthly China Consumer Survey Insights series takes a regular temperature check on Chinese consumers’ behaviors and sentiment, based on exclusive proprietary survey data.

In this research report, we present findings from our latest weekly surveys, with the most recent undertaken on March 31, 2025. We highlight continued declines in consumer expectations for their personal finances and the economy, ahead of new US tariffs.

Data in this research report are:

Consumers’ expectations for economic conditions and personal finances in the next 12 months
How consumers’ financial situation now compares to 12 months ago
Activities that consumers have done in the past two weeks
What products consumers have bought in-store and online in the last two weeks

Other relevant research:

Breathing Space for US Retailers and Brands: US Tariffs Paused for 90 Days But Hiked Further for China
All our coverage of tariffs
Read the full series of China Consumer Survey Insights reports.
The Coresight Research China Retail Sales Databank brings together retail sales data to help you understand the trajectory of retail in China.
Key Festivals and Holidays for Promotional Campaigns in China in 2025: Calendar
More research reports on China retail
Interested in more consumer survey analysis? Check out our US Consumer Survey Insights series.

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Reasons to Read

We offer highlights from the Retail Technology Show 2025, with insights on environmental sustainability, the deployment of AI (artificial intelligence), unified commerce and much more.

Is Shein really a fast-fashion company?
What is the future of packaging barcodes?
How is data centralization and unified commerce driving gains in retail?

Read this report to find out!

Companies mentioned in this report include: Belstaff, GS1, John Lewis Partnership, Kingfisher, Shein, Stuart Trevor, Tesco

Other relevant research:

All our insights on AI in retail
More event coverage from Coresight Research
Visit the Coresight Research Retail Technology Hub to explore reports, data and competitive landscapes on technology.

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Reasons to Read

Walmart hosted its Investment Community Meeting 2025 on April 9, 2025. We present highlights on the performance of the retailer’s US, International and Sam’s Club businesses, and how the company is responding to tariffs.

Walmart is fast-tracking its evolution from a low-margin retailer to a higher-margin digital profit engine, with:

E-commerce, advertising, data and fintech expected to fuel two-thirds of future profit growth
Sam’s Club doubling down on physical expansion and a bold digital push
AI tools like “Sparky” and “Wally” reshaping how Walmart merchandises and serves customers

But there’s a twist: Tariffs just became a wildcard.

Dive into our insights to understand Walmart’s strategic positioning, long-term vision, and response to tariffs.

Other relevant research:

Retailer Dashboard: Walmart
All our coverage of tariffs
Our latest retail inventory and earnings insights featuring Walmart
Mass Merchandiser and Warehouse Club Shopping in Focus—Walmart Leads; High Purchase Rates for Daily Essentials: US Consumer Survey Insights
US Mass Merchandisers, Warehouse Clubs and Discount Stores—Retail 2025 Sector Outlook: Essentials To Fuel Revenue Growth
More report on mass merchandisers, discount stores and warehouse clubs
The Corporate and Financial Developments Databank includes details of management changes, financial guidance updates and capital raised by major retail companies.

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