Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research Retail 2025 series of reports looks ahead to the prospects for retail in 2025, exploring key trends by geography (namely, the US, the UK, China and India) and sector. We will also explore top trends for technology and AI (artificial intelligence), and retail media.

This comprehensive ebook brings together our 10 Retail 2025 Sector Outlooks, presenting directional market insights and themes to watch across multiple retail sectors. We focus primarily on sectors in the US market—apparel and footwear; beauty; CPG (consumer packaged goods); department stores; drugstores; grocery; home and home improvement; and mass merchandisers, warehouse clubs and discount stores—but we also discuss e-commerce in China and the US, as well as the global luxury market.

From M&A (mergers and acquisitions) and retail media to the impacts of AI (artificial intelligence), this ebook provides critical insights to help you shape your strategies for success in 2025.

Data in this research report include:

  • Our projections for US retail sales growth overall in 2025
  • Total sales and year-over-year growth projections per sector
  • Headwinds and tailwinds per sector

Companies mentioned in this report include: Albertsons, Alibaba, Amazon, Bath & Body Works, Dollar General, Home Depot, Kohl’s, Kroger, Lowe’s, LVMH, Shein, Target, Temu, Ulta Beauty, Walmart

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Reasons to Read

Home-improvement retailer Lowe’s held its 2024 Analyst and Investor Conference on December 11, 2024. We present insights from the event, covering the company’s strategic priorities, productivity initiatives and near-term and long-term financial targets.

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Reasons to Read

Our Weekly US and UK Store Openings and Closures Tracker series reports on store closures, openings and bankruptcies. This week, we highlight store closures by Big Lots and Party City, as well as other recent store announcements from major retailers. Non-store-closure news includes management changes at Burberry and Stop & Shop, among others. We also offer a look at retailers’ plans for their store bases in 2025 in this week’s report.

This report presents data up to week 52 of 2024, ended December 27, 2024.

Data in this research report include:

  • Week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the US and the UK—2024 vs. 2023
  • Major US and UK store closures and openings—2024, 2025 and 2023
  • Major US retail bankruptcies—2023 and 2024

Companies mentioned in this research report include: Big Lots, Furniture Village, Holland & Barrett, IT’SUGAR, NIKE, Party City

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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research weekly US Consumer Survey Insights series takes a regular temperature check on US consumers’ behaviors and sentiment, based on exclusive proprietary survey data.

This week, in addition to our usual weekly findings on consumer sentiment, activities and shopping patterns, we dive into findings on holiday shopping specifically. Which retailers are popular, and what are holiday shoppers buying?

The latest data in this report are from our survey conducted on December 16, 2024, with headline findings on holiday shopping rates and the dominance of Amazon this season.

Data in this research report are our latest proprietary survey findings on:

  • Whether consumers have started their holiday shopping yet, and whether they have made any holiday purchases in the past seven days
  • Popular retailers and product categories among holiday shoppers
  • Consumers’ expectations for the economy overall and for their own personal financial situation—plus, breakdowns of our findings by income
  • Where consumers have bought food and nonfood products from in the last two weeks
  • What consumers have bought in-store and online in the last two weeks
  • Activities that consumers have done in the past two weeks

Companies mentioned in this research report include: Amazon, Dollar Tree/Family Dollar, Walmart

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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research team will attend CES 2025 in Las Vegas, hosted by the Consumer Technology Association (CTA). The show kicks off with two media days on January 5–6, followed by the show proper during January 7–10.

Plan your time at CES 2025 with our guide to the event. Discover highlights from the agenda, covering sessions, keynotes and featured companies.

Meet the Coresight Research team at CES 2025! Email contactus@stage.coresight.com.

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Reasons to Read

We analyze the recent performance of selected retailers, brands and e-commerce platforms (Coresight 100 companies mostly based in the US) in the third quarter of 2024, covering revenues, earnings per share and comps, and considering consensus estimates and year-over-year changes.

Data in this report include:

  • Quarterly data from companies, including gross margins and sales data by brand (where applicable), channel and geography

Companies mentioned in this report include: Alibaba, Amazon, Best Buy, CVS Health, Capri Holdings, Costco, Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Foot Locker, Gap, The Home Depot, JD.com, Kohl’s, Kroger, Lowe’s, Lululemon Athletica, Macy’s, Nordstrom, Ross Stores, Skechers, Tapestry, Target, The TJX Companies, Ulta Beauty, Urban Outfitters, VF Corporation, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Walmart

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Reasons to Read

The monthly Coresight Research US Retail Sales Outlook series tracks several major macroeconomic indicators and their likely effect on US retail sales. In this report, we analyze the latest available data as of December 20, 2024.

Alongside this report, you can access the data behind key charts and tables in the Excel download above.

Data in this research report include:

  • Our projections for retail sales growth by month for the next 12 months
  • US actual retail sales versus model-predicted sales
  • US unemployment rate and labor force participation rate
  • US average hourly wages for all private-sector employees
  • US annualized real disposable income per capita

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Reasons to Read

Two major US retailers, Big Lots and Party City, are closing. Big Lots stated that it will conduct an out-of-business sale following the failure of a deal to sell the company, while Party City plans to close all its stores.

We argue that these closures are indicative of an underrecognized pressure on retailers, which we identify as totalling about $100 billion in scale.

Companies mentioned in this report include: Big Lots, Five Below, Party City, Temu, The Container Store

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Reasons to Read

Part of our Retail 2025 series of reports, we present six key predictions for the UK retail market in 2025 and beyond, covering trends including GenAI, unified commerce and retail media.

Data in this research report include:

  • Estimated UK retail media spend, 2025
  • Estimated UK social commerce market size, 2025
  • UK retail sales growth, 2025

Companies mentioned in this report include: Aldi, Lidl, Next, Tesco, Temu, TikTok

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Reasons to Read

Our annual report on the India retail market—part of our Retail 2025 series of outlook reports—details six predictions around trends that Coresight Research expects to transform retail in the country throughout 2025. From quick commerce and new brick-and-mortar developments to the luxury sector and GenAI (generative artificial intelligence), discover the trends you need to stay on top of in Indian commerce.

Data in this research report include:

  • Size of the Indian e-commerce market and year-over-year growth, 2024
  • Size of the Indian quick-commerce market and year-over-year growth, 2020–2025E
  • Survey data on the share of online grocery buyers in India who are moving purchases from kiranas to quick-commerce marketplaces
  • Estimated luxury sales growth for India for 2025

Companies mentioned in this report include: Amazon, Flipkart, Nestlé India, Reliance Retail, Swiggy, Zepto, Zomato

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Reasons to Read

Welcome to Analyst Corner! Every Sunday, a member of the Coresight Research team discusses upcoming or recent research and their thoughts on interesting topics in their area of expertise.

This week, Anand Kumar, Managing Director of Retail Research, presents three predictions for US retail, drawing on insights from our flagship annual report. From retail media to the Ozempic economy, discover the impacts of key trends in 2025.

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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research Retail 2025 series of reports looks ahead to the prospects for retail next year, exploring key trends by geography (namely, the US, the UK, China and India) and sector.

This report, one of our Retail 2025 Sector Outlooks, presents directional market insights and themes to watch in online retailing in China and the US. We touch on geopolitical tensions, GenAI (generative artificial intelligence), the expansion of cross-border e-commerce retailers and livestreaming e-commerce, among other topics.

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Reasons to Read

Our Weekly US and UK Store Openings and Closures Tracker series reports on store closures, openings and bankruptcies. This week, we highlight store closures by Macy’s and store openings at Hollister, as well as detail other recent store announcements from major retailers. Non-store-closure news includes management changes at Food Lion and Primark, among others.

Also this week, we offer a first look at retailers’ plans for their store bases in 2025.

This report presents data up to week 51 of 2024, ended December 20, 2024.

Data in this research report include:

  • Week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the US and the UK—2024 vs. 2023
  • Major US and UK store closures and openings—2024, 2025 and 2023
  • Major US retail bankruptcies—2024 and 2023

Companies mentioned in this research report include: Macy’s, Pop Mart, Primark, Sainsbury’s, Zara

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Reasons to Read

We present the latest developments in retail shrink in the US and the UK, including data on shoplifting and worker safety. Plus, dive into recent commentary on shrink from retailers in the US and Canada.

Part of our monthly Retail Shrink and ORC (organized retail crime) series, this research report covers the period mid-November to mid-December 2024.

  • In 2025, this series will be published on a quarterly basis.

Companies mentioned in this report include: Alimentation Couche-Tard, Casey’s General Stores, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Empire Company, Kroger, Nordstrom, Target, Ulta Beauty

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