Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research US Apparel and Beauty Spending Tracker provides a monthly update on the trajectory of consumer spending on beauty, clothing and footwear. Our latest report covers spending from October 2022, showing that clothing and footwear spending increased by 2.5% year over year.

Data in this report include: 

  • US consumer spending on clothing and footwear year-over-year percentage change, October 2021–October 2022
  • US consumer spending on clothing by category year-over-year percentage change, October 2021–October 2022
  • US consumer spending on footwear year-over-year percentage change, October 2021–October 2022
  • US consumer spending on selected beauty categories year-over-year percentage change, October 2021–October 2022

Other relevant research:  

Coresight Research coverage of the apparel and footwear market 

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Coresight Bites provide free snapshots of Coresight Research data and findings. 

This graphic presents selected insights into apparel specialty retail in the US, the UK and China. 

Subscribers can access the full research here. To find out how to subscribe, click here.

We expect that estimated growth rates in the US and the UK will belie deeper real-terms sales declines due to continued elevated levels of inflation in the first half of 2023. 

Click the image below to read our full Market Outlook.  

Reasons to Read

The US Store Tracker Extra monthly series offers insight into retailers’ store closure and opening announcements and details on closures and openings as a percentage of total store base and square-footage impact. This report also offers a comparison between year-to-date announced closures and openings, as of November 25, 2022, versus the comparable period in 2021.

Data in this report are:

  • Year-to-date announced US store closures and openings estimates for 2022, by retailer
  • Year-to-date announced 2022 US store closures and openings estimates in gross square feet, by retailer
  • US announced store closures and openings: week-by-week comparison of 2022 versus 2021

Companies mentioned in this report include: American Eagle Outfitters, Bath & Body Works, Best Buy, Carter’s and Crocs

Other relevant research:

The Coresight Research US Store Tracker Databank offers our premium subscribers access to openings and closures data from 2012 to 2022 year to date, filterable by sector and year—click here to view.

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Introduction

The Coresight Research team will be attending CES (the consumer electronics show) during January 3–8, 2023 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The show is produced by the Consumer Technology Association (CTA).

The exhibits portion of CES will be held during January 5–8, 2023, following two Media Days for media and industry analysts on January 3–4. The Coresight Research team will attend the media events, including press conferences and keynote addresses, as well as meet with innovators and other companies exhibiting on the show floor.

In this report, we present a preview of the show based on insights from the CES Unveiled conference (which bears the same name as the product showcase that we will attend as part of the main CES event in 2023) on November 16, 2022.

CES 2023 Preview: Coresight Research Insights

According to CTA, CES 2023 will feature more than 200 sessions. It is on track to reach its goal of 100,000 attendees, and 2,500 media representatives are already registered.

Our Take on CES 2023

We believe that there are two types of CES shows: those in which blockbuster new technology is announced and those in which applications and refinements of those technologies are announced. We expect CES 2023 to be evolutionary, rather than revolutionary, with one exception: the metaverse.

We expect Web 3.0 technologies to be pervasive at CES 2023, with a new area in the Central Hall of the Las Vegas Convention Center dedicated to blockchain, virtual assets and the metaverse, along with ample product demonstrations in applications such as healthcare and training.

  • Read Coresight Research coverage of the metaverse in retail.

The image below shows the evolution of fundamental technologies such as cloud computing, AI (artificial intelligence), robotics and cybersecurity, plus the emergence of transformative technologies such as industrial IoT (Internet of Things) and Web 3.0.

Diagram showing periods of revolution and evolution in consumer technology
Diagram showing periods of revolution and evolution in consumer technology
Source: CTA

 

Focus Areas of CES 2023

Gary Shapiro, CEO at CTA, kicked off the CES Unveiled event. He announced that, in addition to the usual showcase of innovation, the theme of the show in 2023 will be the use of technology to enhance human freedom, including a new partnership with the UN (United Nations). Examples of using tech for this purpose include the food and agriculture keynote, displays of “clean tech,” smart cities and the use of “tech for good.”

In his remarks, Shapiro outlined the mission of technology as boosting productivity by driving speed, safety and efficiency in seven major categories: 5G wireless, AI, autonomous systems, cloud computing, robotics, sensors, and software and apps.

Shapiro highlighted two focus areas in particular for CES 2023:

  1. Web 3.0—The event will have a new area in the Central Hall devoted to blockchain, assets and the metaverse, including a Web 3.0 studio and demonstrations of using the metaverse and related technologies for healthcare and training. Exploration of the metaverse will also include use cases such as digital twins, developing Web 3.0 foundations, and hardware upgrades in haptics and spatial sound.
  2. Mobility—The category has seen explosive growth (beyond self-driving cars). CES will showcase marine tech and airborne vehicles, as well as covering the electrification of vehicles and highlighting new devices for personal mobility.

Beyond those two areas, Shapiro and Lesley Rohrbaugh, Director of Research at CTA, highlighted the following key themes and subcategories as set to be prominent at CES 2023:

  • Digital health, including sleep tech, mental health, telehealth, remote monitoring. One new exciting area is hearing aids, following the approval in the US to sell hearing aids over the counter, which will unlock this market. The new “Home Health Hub” at CES will feature digital therapeutics, telehealth and fitness tech.
  • Emerging tech—fintech, smart communities and food tech (such as using 3D printers to create food)
  • Infotainment of the future, including “vehicle-to-everything” (meaning that our cars will become our digital hubs), infotainment and the addition of voice and gesture automotive controls
  • On-demand lifestyles, covering the fragmentation of the video market and updates of digital services such as cloud gaming, fitness/health and home security
  • Sustainability and “green tech,” including a keynote from agricultural equipment company John Deere as well as smart home monitoring equipment and smart cities
  • Video games and esports—The CTA estimates 401 million viewers (a 15% year-over-year increase) and $6.4 billion in US consumer video-game spending in 2022.

John Kelly, Vice President at CTA, and Kinsey Fabrizio, Senior VP of Membership and Sales at CTA, participated in a fireside chat looking ahead to the show, further emphasizing many of the topics highlighted above.

Kelly and Fabrizio look ahead to CES 2023
Kelly and Fabrizio look ahead to CES 2023
Source: Coresight Research

 

Keynotes To Look Out For, Plus the “Best of Innovation Honorees”

CES 2023 will feature keynote addresses from executives in traditional technology sectors such as chips, as well as relatively new sectors for the show, automobiles and agriculture:

  • Agricultural equipment: John May, Chairman and CEO of John Deere
  • Automobiles: Oliver Zipse, Chairman of the Board of Management at BMW
  • Chips: Dr. Lisa Su, CEO of AMD

There will also be keynotes from other sectors, called the “C Space” track, including the following:

  • Airlines: Ed Bastian, CEO at Delta Airlines
  • Delivery: Laura Jones, CMO at Instacart
  • Media and advertising: Michael Kassan, Founder and CEO of MediaLink
  • Media: Travis Montaque, CEO and Co-Founder of Group Black

In advance of the show, CES released its Best of Innovation Honorees (listed in the image below), which typically are showcased in an area at the front of the Sands conference center.

CES 2023 Best of Innovation Honorees
CES 2023 Best of Innovation Honorees
Source: CTA

 

Black Friday/Holiday Trends

In addition to offering advanced insights into CES 2023, CTA also covered trends to watch for Black Friday and the holiday season.

Rohrbaugh provided a 2022 holiday wish and gift list:

  • Gifts adults want to receive (in decreasing order): smartphones, wearables, laptop/notebook computers, TVs and tablets/e-readers
  • Gifts adults want to give (in decreasing order): headphones/earbuds, streaming/download services, mobile device cases, smartphones and video-game consoles.

In a response to a question regarding the current excess inventory in PCs and other consumer electronics categories, Rohrbaugh commented that these surpluses would result in very attractive discounts for consumers this holiday season.

Furthermore, she announced that a recent US consumer survey conducted by CTA found that 86% of Thanksgiving-week shoppers plan to purchase tech products. The survey generally showed a willingness to shop online and offline, that consumers are generally not focusing on shopping during Cyber Week and that they do their homework online before visiting a store, though they tend to pay in traditional ways.

What We Think

CES 2023 is likely to be more evolutionary than revolutionary, with one big exception: it is likely to have a major focus on the metaverse, with a dedicated area in the Central Hall likely to show a wide variety of related applications, tools and infrastructure. We are also likely to see a plethora of metaverse gadgets in the Unveiled, Pepcom and Showstoppers product showcases.

We expect to continue to see progress in health tech—evolving beyond the simple wearables of yore—with more applications in health, wellness and sleep tech, as well as more advanced wearables.

Finally, we observe that the prior focus on autonomous cars—which have not yet been perfected—has evolved into a general mobility category, which includes drones and marine vehicles.

Reasons to Read

The monthly Coresight Research Leading Indicators of US Retail Sales series tracks several major macroeconomic indicators and their likely effect on US retail sales. We analyze the latest available data as of November 22, 2022.

Data in this report include/are:

  • US actual retail sales versus model predicted sales
  • Proprietary Coresight Research projections for retail sales growth in November and December 2022
  • US unemployment rate and labor force participation rate
  • US average hourly wages for all private-sector employees
  • US annualized real disposable income per capita
  • Consumer Sentiment Index

Other relevant research: 

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Reasons to Read

Quantum computing is coming, and billions of dollars of investment by governments and industry are increasing its capabilities. We discuss the benefits and applications of quantum computing, as well as the implications of quantum encryption and key players in the quantum race.

Companies mentioned in this report include: Baidu, D-Wave, Google, IBM, Microsoft, Nvidia

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Our new Livestreaming in the West report series delves into key trends in livestreaming e-commerce across four key retail verticals: apparel, beauty, CPG and home/electronics. Learn about how retailers in the West are establishing and enhancing their livestreaming strategies.

As a primer to our new series, we discuss the current state of livestream shopping in the West, leveraging data from recent Coresight Research surveys of consumers and retail companies.

Data in this report include:

  • US livestream viewers’ reasons for watching a shoppable livestream in the past three months, by product category
  • Social media platforms, e-commerce channels and video-sharing platforms used by Western retail companies for livestreaming, by selected retail verticals
  • Proportion of annual marketing budget allocated to livestreaming by Western retail companies in 2022 (overall and by retail vertical)
  • Benefits of livestreaming for by Western retail companies and types of host used, by selected retail verticals
  • Western retail companies’ expectations for livestreaming e-commerce revenue growth in the next two years (overall and by retail vertical)

Companies mentioned in this report include: Amazon, Facebook, Instagram, TikTok, WhatsApp, YouTube

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research weekly US Consumer Tracker presents a detailed update on US consumers’ behavior and expectations, with a focus on the implications for US retail. This week, we assess shopper behavior ahead of the Thanksgiving holiday.

Data in this report include:

  • Which retailers consumers have bought food and nonfood products from in the last two weeks
  • Activities consumers have done in the last two weeks
  • Public places consumers are currently avoiding
  • What products consumers have bought in the last two weeks

Companies mentioned in this report include: Amazon, Dollar General, Dollar Tree/Family Dollar, Target, Walmart

Other relevant research:

  • Read our full series of US Consumer Tracker and US Consumer Tracker Extra reports.
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Reasons to Read

Our weekly Earnings Insights reports feature highlights from recent management commentary from major US retailers within our Coresight 100 coverage list, as they report third-quarter 2022 earnings.

This week, there are highlights from companies that reported in the week ended November 27, 2022, across multiple sectors: apparel and footwear brand owners, apparel and footwear specialty retailers, department stores, discount stores, e-commerce, electronics retailers and off-price retailers.

Data in this report are:

  • Quarterly data from companies, including gross margins and sales data by brand (where applicable), channel and geography

Companies mentioned in this report include: American Eagle Outfitters, Best Buy, Burlington Stores, Dick’s Sporting Goods and Dollar Tree

Other relevant research: 

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Reasons to Read

Each Market Outlook offers our analysts’ definitive view of their sector. This research report includes proprietary forecasts, analysis of company metrics, exclusive consumer-survey data, and our analysts’ consideration of factors and themes in the market.

Data in this report include:

  • US drugstores’ total sales and YoY% growth
  • YoY inflation in prescription and non-prescription drugs in the US
  • US online health and personal care market size and YoY% growth
  • Major drugstore chain and pharmacy revenues
  • Walgreens, CVS Health and Rite Aid store count (at fiscal period end)

Companies mentioned in this report include: Amazon, CVS Health, Walgreens Boots Alliance, Walmart

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Each Market Outlook offers our analysts’ definitive view of their sector. This research report includes proprietary forecasts, analysis of company metrics, exclusive consumer survey data and our analysts’ consideration of factors and themes in the market.

In this report, we provide updated outlooks for the apparel and footwear specialty retail sectors in the US, the UK and China in 2023 and beyond. We explore key growth drivers, competitive landscapes, notable retail innovators in the space, and opportunities arising from three notable specialty apparel and footwear trends.

Data in this report for the US, the UK and China include:

  • Specialty retailers’ sales, 2016–2026E
  • Year-over-year changes in apparel and footwear specialty retailers’ sales versus total apparel and footwear consumer spending, 2018–2023E
  • Year-over-year changes in clothing and footwear CPI, September 2021–September 2022
  • E-commerce share of apparel and footwear specialty retailers’ sales, 2018–2026E
  • Key metrics for leading apparel and footwear specialty retailers

Companies mentioned in this report include: American Eagle Outfitters, Bosideng, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Foot Locker, Gap Inc., JD Sports, Marks and Spencer, Next, Primark, Topsports International

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Our new Quarterly Economic Update discusses macroeconomic indicators from the US, the UK, China and the EU (European Union), breaking out data for France and Germany. We cover:

  • GDP
  • Consumer spending
  • Inflation

In this report, the first in the series, we look at the third quarter of 2022 (3Q22), using the latest data available as of November 21, 2022.

Data in this report include:

  • GDP in the US, the UK, France, Germany, the EU and China—quarter-over-quarter change
  • US seasonally adjusted personal consumption expenditures—quarter-over-quarter change
  • UK household final consumption expenditure—quarter-over-quarter change
  • Real final consumption expenditure in France and Germany—quarter-over-quarter change
  • US CPI annual rates (three-month averages)
  • UK CPIH annual rates (three-month averages)
  • Annual inflation rates (three-month averages) in the EU, France, Germany and China

Other relevant research:

November 2022 Monthly Consumer Update: US, UK and China

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Reasons to Read

The Coresight Research team undertook its annual tour of stores for Black Friday, visiting stores in the US and Canada. We offer our observations and insights on the shopping event this year, covering the breadth and depth of promotions, product quantity and availability, consumer activity and demand, and more. 

Companies mentioned in this report include: American Eagle Outfitters, Athleta, Bath & Body Works, Best Buy, Dick’s Sporting Goods, Gap, Home Depot, Kohl’s, Macy’s, NIKE, Nordstrom, Target and The TJX Companies 

Other relevant research: 

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Reasons to Read

In our monthly report on US retail traffic and in-store metrics, we review weekly shopper traffic trends through the month, as well as traffic by retailer vertical, region and retailer location type. October 2022’s data shows traffic growth declined to 4.1% year over year.

Data in this report are:

  • Year-over-year change to US store-based traffic and sales
  • US store-based nonfood metrics, including shopper yield, unit per transaction and average unit retail
  • Weekly shopper traffic trends
  • Traffic by retailer vertical
  • Regional traffic trends
  • Traffic by retailer location type

Other relevant research:

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