Reasons to Read

This week, in addition to our usual weekly findings on consumer sentiment, activities and shopping patterns, we assess our monthly metrics on the expected impact of tariffs, and perceptions of, and responses to, inflation.

Read this report to uncover answers to these and other questions:

  • How has consumer financial and economic sentiment evolved amid new reciprocal tariffs?
  • In what ways are perceptions of tariff impacts influencing consumer shopping behavior?
  • How are consumers adapting to inflation, and what trade-down strategies are emerging in food and nonfood categories?
  • Which retailers and product categories are capturing consumer spend in this polarized environment?

The latest data in this report are from our survey conducted on August 4, 2025.

Data in this research report include: Consumer sentiment trends by income; perceptions of tariffs and their personal/economic impacts; inflation-driven trade-down behaviors in food and nonfood; retailer and category-level shopping patterns; and weekly versus rolling-average sentiment comparisons.

Companies mentioned in this report include: Albertsons Company, Amazon, Costco, Dollar General, Dollar Tree, eBay, Kohl’s, Kroger, Macy’s, The TJX Companies and Walmart.

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Reasons to Read

In the US, the grocery real estate market is becoming increasingly polarized, with physical expansion concentrated at the extremes: Value-focused retailers, such as discounters and dollar stores, continue to grow aggressively, while fresh-format and specialty grocers are scaling up to serve shoppers seeking fresher, healthier offerings. In contrast, traditional grocers have seen stagnation or contractions in their store footprint.

Ahead of our 2025 Market Navigator on US grocery retailing, we explore the key real estate trends and themes we are watching in the space, including the polarization in openings, tighter real estate supply leading to lower vacancy rates and higher rents, and Amazon’s push into the physical grocery space, among others.

Data in this research report include:

  • Total sales for the US grocery market, 2020–2029E
  • Store counts and footprint CAGRs of major grocery retailers in the US, June 2021–June 2025
  • Total store openings and closures for the entire US grocery sector, 2019–2025 YTD
  • Visit share of grocery retail segments in the US, 1Q21–1Q25

Companies mentioned in this report include: Aldi, Amazon, Costco Wholesale Club, Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Grocery Outlet, Sprouts Farmers Market, Trader Joe’s and Walmart.

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Discover how simplified promotions, state-backed subsidies and payment ecosystem integration are set to redefine Singles’ Day 2025 and reshape China’s e-commerce landscape.

Read this report to discover answers to these and other questions:

  • How are leading platforms simplifying promotions to boost transparency, trust and conversion rates during Singles’ Day 2025?
  • What scale of government stimulus funding is being deployed, and how will subsidies for big-ticket items drive festival sales?
  • How will the convergence of e-commerce platforms and payment ecosystems create a seamless checkout experience and expand consumer reach?

Companies mentioned in this report include: Alibaba, Alipay, Apple, Douyin, Ele.me, Fujifilm, Insta360, JD.com, Kuaishou, Meituan, Pinduoduo, Taobao, Tmall, Tencent and WeChat.

Data in this report include: annual e-commerce GMV growth by platform type; year-over-year sales growth for subsidized categories; consumer demographics for WeChat Pay integration; cross-border transaction trends.

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Despite the collapse of the Kroger-Albertsons merger, market concentration in the US grocery sector is likely to rise over the coming years, especially among regional chains. Dive into the reasons behind this and other major themes in the US grocery market, as well as the technologies and innovators set to shake up the space. Ahead of our 2025 Market Navigator on US grocery retailing, we explore the key trends and themes we are watching in the space, our blue-sky thinking and the retail innovators we are watching.

Read this report to discover answers to these and other questions:

  • In what ways will major retailers evolve into full-stack grocery platforms by 2030?
  • How will demographic shifts—such as an aging population and rising diversity—transform grocery demand and store formats?
  • What is driving Amazon’s renewed push into the grocery sector, and how will it compete on price and convenience?
  • Why are grocery discounters and dollar stores intensifying sector-wide margin pressure, and how are traditional grocers responding?
  • What will be the impact of recent changes to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP)?

Data in this report include: US grocery discount channel and total grocery market sales and sales projections; private-label versus name brand grocery sales growth and penetration rates; selected retailers’ store counts over time; demographic and household composition forecasts; competitive positioning of grocery discounters; in-store retail media adoption and capabilities.

Companies mentioned in this report include: Ahold Delhaize, Albertsons, Aldi, Amazon, Dollar General, Kroger, Lidl, Publix, Save A Lot, Sprouts Farmers Market and Walmart.

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Welcome to Analyst Corner! Every Sunday, a member of the Coresight Research team discusses upcoming or recent research and their thoughts on interesting topics in their area of expertise.

This week, Madhav Pitaliya, Analyst, discusses the key drivers and trends that drove the recent performance of online home-goods retailer Wayfair, in which it turned a quarterly profit for the first time since 2021.

Analyst Corner also highlights our key research from the past week and upcoming reports to look out for, so you don’t miss out.

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Our Weekly UK Store Openings and Closures Tracker series reports on store closures, openings and bankruptcies in the UK. This week, we highlight store openings and closures by Co-op, Sleep.8, Frasers Group, Mountain Warehouse, Next and more.

This report presents data through week 32 of 2025, beginning August 4, 2025.

Data in this research report include:

  • Week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the UK—2025 vs. 2024
  • Major UK store closures and openings—2025 and 2024

Companies mentioned in this report include: Co-op, Frasers Group, Lucy & Yak, Mountain Warehouse, Next, Pop Mart and Sleep.8

Other relevant research:

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Our Weekly US Store Openings and Closures Tracker series reports on store closures, openings and bankruptcies in the US.

This week, we cover the impacts of Claire’s bankruptcy, with potentially 1,100+ stores to close.

This report presents data through week 32 of 2025, beginning August 4, 2025.

Data in this research report include:

  • Week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the US—2025 vs. 2024
  • Major US store closures and openings—2025 and 2024
  • Major US retail bankruptcies—2025 and 2024

Companies mentioned in this report include: At Home, Claire’s, Mattress land, Sleep Number, Murphy, Publix Super Markets, Apple, LEGO, The Paper Store and Walmart

Other relevant research:

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The Weekly US Consumer Sentiment infographic series from Coresight Research takes a regular temperature check on US consumer sentiment in the context of shifts in the macroeconomic landscape.

Data in this infographic are proprietary survey findings on:

  • US consumers’ expectations for the economy overall and for their own personal financial situation over the next 12 months
  • Sentiment trends by income (selected insights)

Dive into the research behind this infographic: Economic Sentiment Turns Positive Ahead of Tariff Deadline; Plus, Department Store Shopping in Focus: US Consumer Survey Insights

Other relevant research:

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On August 6, 2025, Maxwell Kahn, President of Coresight Research, presented at SACSC Congress 2025 in Cape Town, South Africa. The annual event, hosted by the South African Council of Shopping Centres, brought together senior leaders across retail, real estate and consumer goods to explore the forces transforming the global retail landscape.

During his presentation, Kahn shared insights on the rise of ultra-fast fashion platforms—and how companies like Shein and Temu are disrupting traditional retail through agile supply chains, digital-native marketing and real-time consumer engagement. We explored how these fast-scaling models are reshaping the industry and what they mean for the future of retail in both global and African markets.

We sought to answer three key questions to help businesses understand and navigate this disruption:

  • What lessons can be learned from the success of Shein and Temu?
  • How are these companies redefining supply chain speed, personalization and scalability?
  • What are the implications for retailers and brands operating in today’s rapidly evolving market?

This presentation also touches on AI (artificial intelligence), data-driven operations, platform economics, demand forecasting, localized fulfillment and strategies for innovation and growth in a competitive retail environment.

Relevant research:

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In July 2025, announced store closures by At Home, Ace Hardware and Save A Lot pushed the total amount of retail space to close in the US this year to 127 million square feet, Coresight Research calculates.

Dive into US retailers’ latest store closure and opening announcements, as well as the square-footage impacts of these developments, with our monthly US Store Tracker Extra series. In this report, we offer insights into announced developments as of August 1, 2025.

Data in this report are:

  • Year-to-date (YTD) US store closures and openings estimates for 2025 and 2024, by retailer—total number of store closures/openings and their square-footage impact
  • US announced store closures and openings: week-by-week data for 2025 versus the comparable period in 2024
  • US retail bankruptcies, 2025 vs. 2024

Companies mentioned in this report include: Alimentation Couche-Tard, Aritiza, At Home, Daiso, Tractor Supply, Watches of Switzerland and Whole Foods Market.

Other relevant research:

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Understand how US consumer sentiment and department store shopping behaviors are evolving amid economic uncertainty. 

Read this report to uncover answers to these and other questions:

  • How is financial and economic sentiment shifting across income groups, and what’s driving these changes?
  • What does the latest data reveal about Kohl’s and Macy’s dominance—and other department stores gaining momentum—in department store retail?
  • Which product categories are gaining or losing share in department store shopping, and what does that say about consumer priorities?

Data in this research report include: Consumer sentiment by income group and week; department store shopper penetration by retailer and category; department store trends including purchase rates and retailer popularity.

Companies mentioned in this report include: Albertsons Companies, Amazon, Costco, Dollar General, Dollar Tree, eBay, JCPenney, Kohl’s, Kroger, Macy’s, Neiman Marcus, Nordstrom, Saks Fifth Avenue, The TJX Companies and Walmart.

Other relevant research:  

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This week, John Mercer, Head of Global Research and Managing Director of Data-Driven Research, discusses the “push and pull” effect we are witnessing, whereby digital channels are adding greater convenience as physical stores lose some of their competitive edge around convenience, service and immediacy.

Analyst Corner also highlights our key research from the past week and upcoming reports to look out for, so you don’t miss out.

Other relevant research:

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Reasons to Read

Discover how China’s 6.18 Shopping Festival 2025 is reshaping e-commerce strategy and consumer behavior.

Read this report to discover answers to these and other questions:

  • How are simplified promotion rules transforming the shopping experience and boosting consumer trust?
  • What impact does the extended festival duration have on sales patterns and buyer engagement?
  • How are government trade-in programs and subsidies fueling consumption and shaping retailer strategies?

Companies mentioned in this report include: Apple, Douyin, Fujifilm, Insta360, JD.com, Kuaishou, Pinduoduo, Taobao and Tmall.

Data in this report include: year-over-year sales growth rates by platform; parcel volume growth across festival phases; timing of festival periods by platform; key performance metrics from JD.com and Tmall (brand expansion, order volumes and GMV growth); government subsidy impacts on category sales.

Other relevant research:

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Our Weekly UK Store Openings and Closures Tracker series reports on store closures, openings and bankruptcies in the UK. This week, we highlight store openings and closures by Greggs, Pandora, Victoria’s Secret, Walgreens Boots Alliance and more.

This report presents data up through week 31 of 2025, beginning July 28, 2025.

Data in this research report include:

  • Week-by-week comparisons of announced store closures and openings in the UK—2025 vs. 2024
  • Major UK store closures and openings—2025 and 2024

Companies mentioned in this report include: Greggs, Jollyes, LEGO, Pandora, Pureseoul, Smiggle, The Works, Victoria’s Secret and Walgreens Boots Alliance.

Other relevant research:

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